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Polymarket wallet 0x3f3dc75c1b7ba556b8d0831995bc7fc46a4253fa · on Polymarket since Jun 9, 2024 · also shown as Orange-Leg
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 204 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $200 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 158 | 84¢ → 82¢ | $129 | −$4 −3.0% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 745d | Yes | 11 | 35¢ → 17¢ | $2 | −$2 −52% |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 51 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 14 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.