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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julianne Moore | 75% | — | +4 pts | 74¢ · 75¢ (1¢) | $39.9 | in 250d |
| Inde Navarrette | 18% | — | +2 pts | 17¢ · 18¢ (1¢) | $170 | in 250d |
| Sandra Hüller | 4% | 0 pts | −3 pts | 3¢ · 5¢ (2¢) | — | in 250d |
| Renate Reinsve | 2% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 2¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | $43 | in 250d |
| Virginie Efira | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | in 250d |
| Rachel Brosnahan | 1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 250d |
| Ruth Madeley | 1% | 0 pts | −2 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 250d |
| Scarlett Johansson | 1% | 0 pts | −1 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 250d |
| Olivia Wilde | <1% | 0 pts | −1 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 142d |
| Rosalind Eleazar | <1% | — | −1 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 142d |
| Cynthia Erivo | <1% | — | −1 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 142d |
| Anne Hathaway | <1% | 0 pts | −1 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 142d |
| Emily Blunt | <1% | 0 pts | −1 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 142d |
| Mikey Madison | <1% | — | −1 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 142d |
| Léa Seydoux | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 250d |
| Joan Collins | <1% | 0 pts | −1 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 142d |
| Sophie Okonedo | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 250d |
| Michelle Williams | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 250d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31d |  Hyperlong | Renate Reinsve | BuyNo94¢ → 98¢ | $1,141 | +$49 +4.3% | 24 |
| 47d | wolfmoon | Julianne Moore | BuyYes55¢ → 75¢ | $2,035 | +$722 +35% | 40 |
| 71d | 0gfe5frt66 | Julianne Moore | SellYes30¢ → 75¢ | $6,308 | −$9,361 −148% | — |
| 81d | 0gfe5frt66 | Julianne Moore | BuyYes24¢ → 75¢ | $1,392 | +$3,002 +216% | 42 |
| 82d | KiernanMeister2 fills | Julianne Moore | BuyNo70¢ → 26¢ | $14,292 | −$9,117 −64% | 40 |
Highboard4,414 shares
ImJustKen2,371 shares
StarMaster351 shares
Haradwaith480 sharesThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 75¢ for Julianne Moore means the market gives it about 75%.