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Polymarket wallet 0x414df97698d7b8904aae2ae91512ed767dd60273 · on Polymarket since Jun 26, 2025 · also shown as Practical-Controversy
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out EditionSettled - ready to redeem | Yes | 142 | 70¢ → 100¢ | $142 | +$43 +43% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will October 2025 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 510 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 336d | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SellYes28¢ | $18 |
| 336d | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SellYes54¢ | $98 |
| 360d | Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30? | SellNo42¢ | $8 |
| 366d | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BuyYes55¢ | $100 |
| 366d | Will October 2025 be the 4th or lower hottest on record? | BuyYes3¢ | $15 |
| 366d | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes29¢ | $19 |
| 366d | Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30? | BuyNo37¢ | $7 |
| 366d | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SellNo41¢ | $7 |
| 369d | Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition | BuyYes70¢ | $99 |
| 373d | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BuyNo28¢ | $5 |
| 373d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31? | BuyYes12¢ | $30 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.