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Polymarket wallet 0x43fc51c111bd17a8916f79475a07c106be63714d · on Polymarket since Mar 14, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | No | 600 | 83¢ → 79¢ | $477 | −$24 −4.8% |
| Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?Ends in 159d | Yes | 110 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $107 | +$7 +6.8% |
| Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Ends in 177d | No | 90 | 61¢ → 63¢ | $56 | +$1 +2.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 59 | 85¢ → 92¢ | $54 | +$4 +7.6% |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Ends in 47d | No | 200 | 25¢ → 27¢ | $53 | +$3 +6.0% |
| Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 350 | 15¢ → 15¢ | $52 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Ends in 177d | No | 80 | 64¢ → 56¢ | $45 | −$6 −12% |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Ends in 129d | No | 158 | 38¢ → 18¢ | $28 | −$32 −54% |
| Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 100 | 43¢ → 24¢ | $24 | −$19 −45% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 20 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.