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Polymarket wallet 0x45843ca71fe9ef34b645b76c9e4409bd99ce7916 · on Polymarket since Aug 18, 2024 · also shown as Quintessential-Leaver
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 112 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $110 | −$0 −0.3% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 28 | 39¢ → 44¢ | $12 | +$1 +12% |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 19 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.