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Polymarket wallet 0x475bc2c54fb7497b6aed4e2878e76a8c2fccd4df · on Polymarket since Oct 26, 2025
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 208 | 48¢ → 100¢ | $208 | +$108 +108% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 182 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 45 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 29 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 289d | Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo55¢ | $100 |
| 289d | Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes48¢ | $100 |
| 354d | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BuyYes90¢ | $11 |
| 360d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 7? | BuyYes11¢ | $5 |
| 360d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31? | BuyYes17¢ | $3 |
| 360d | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | BuyYes34¢ | $10 |
| 360d | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by October 31? | BuyNo92¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.