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Polymarket wallet 0x4796926d8d05369bbdb378b8dfc27d7b51d4e380 · on Polymarket since Oct 20, 2025 · also shown as Carefree-Orchard
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 3,000 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $2,852 | +$182 +6.8% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,010 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,241 −100% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$815 −100% |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 41 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 101 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will England win on 2026-07-15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,164 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$768 −100% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Exact Score: Norway 2 - 0 Senegal?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Japan?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 125 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,413 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,009 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.