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Polymarket wallet 0x49ce44d8d3bfb841a6d308ad3b586ac9ba85e5d5 · on Polymarket since Jun 25, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Ends in 42d | No | 11 | 90¢ → >99¢ | $11 | +$1 +11% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 89¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 24 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 34 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 34 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 386 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 106d | Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12? | BuyNo57¢ | $14 |
| 106d | Megaquake by July 31? | BuyNo92¢ | $10 |
| 106d | Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12? | BuyNo29¢ | $10 |
| 106d | Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15? | BuyNo94¢ | $25 |
| 106d | Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyNo35¢ | $10 |
| 106d | Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15? | BuyNo13¢ | $52 |
| 110d | Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | SellNo99¢ | $62 |
| 116d | Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo80¢ | $50 |
| 117d | Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30? | BuyNo76¢ | $26 |
| 117d | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BuyNo90¢ | $10 |
| 117d | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyNo89¢ | $10 |
| 121d | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 25, 2026? | BuyNo23¢ | $10 |
| 121d | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26? | BuyNo82¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.