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Polymarket wallet 0x4b84ea64f518eea56d15ae0aaf947e538f83df30 · on Polymarket since Dec 11, 2025
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 106 | 94¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,190,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,190 −100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 304 | 99¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$300 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 600 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.