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Polymarket wallet 0x4d97f1515bed8b6096b82a8ac744cc66965aa40a · on Polymarket since Mar 21, 2026 · also shown as Flustered-Steam
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 204d | Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? | BuyYes90¢ | $1 |
| 204d | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BuyNo96¢ | $1 |
| 204d | Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 3? | BuyNo92¢ | $1 |
| 204d | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | BuyYes97¢ | $1 |
| 204d | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | BuyNo96¢ | $1 |
| 204d | Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026? | BuyNo99¢ | $1 |
| 204d | Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15? | BuyYes20¢ | $1 |
| 204d | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | BuyNo86¢ | $1 |
| 204d | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30? | BuyNo99¢ | $1 |
| 204d | US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15? | BuyNo95¢ | $1 |
| 204d | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BuyYes55¢ | $1 |
| 204d | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BuyNo86¢ | $1 |
| 204d | Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | BuyNo99¢ | $1 |
| 204d | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BuyNo91¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.