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Polymarket wallet 0x4ed46c64f2e3254ec7d615b7849bbad475d59dd4 · on Polymarket since Dec 24, 2025 · also shown as Thick-Yew
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 6d | No | 6 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $6 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 52 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 79¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 403 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 20 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.