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Polymarket wallet 0x4fa7187d812c4fe49376284ae404436dd627ad18 · on Polymarket since Aug 17, 2025 · also shown as Jumpy-Lace
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Negative GDP growth in 2026?Ends in 97d | No | 400 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $389 | +$5 +1.4% |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 400 | 87¢ → 96¢ | $385 | +$35 +10% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $287 | +$2 +0.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 86¢ → 84¢ | $251 | −$8 −2.9% |
| Viktor Orbán arrested by...?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 84¢ → 77¢ | $231 | −$21 −8.2% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 85¢ → 94¢ | $94 | +$9 +11% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 89 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $85 | +$1 +1.1% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 25 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.