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Polymarket wallet 0x4fcd0f993bc357213e242c09f82559930f8bde5e · on Polymarket since Oct 23, 2025 · also shown as Unnatural-Instrumentation
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 745d | No | 1,540 | 50¢ → 79¢ | $1,224 | +$454 +59% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 6d | Yes | 600 | 84¢ → 86¢ | $516 | +$12 +2.4% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 550 | 87¢ → 85¢ | $468 | −$12 −2.4% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 10d | No | 500 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $463 | +$3 +0.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 10d | Yes | 500 | 93¢ → 92¢ | $458 | −$8 −1.6% |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 350 | 51¢ → 91¢ | $317 | +$138 +77% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 350 | 72¢ → 91¢ | $317 | +$65 +26% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 745d | Yes | 1,540 | 50¢ → 21¢ | $317 | −$454 −59% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 277 | 89¢ → 12¢ | $32 | −$215 −87% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.