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Polymarket wallet 0x5270504b8c1c57c0a5ca41410fe2b0f280870b1b · on Polymarket since Nov 20, 2024 · also shown as Indolent-Seat
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 71 | 70¢ → 100¢ | $71 | +$21 +43% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 46 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Major cyberattack on Iran in June?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 981 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bayrou out as French PM in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 309 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| US military action against Iran before July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 533 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$184 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 486d | Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? | BuyNo2¢ | $20 |
| 486d | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | BuyNo1¢ | $10 |
| 490d | Will France recognize Palestine in 2025? | BuyNo76¢ | $10 |
| 490d | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | BuyNo70¢ | $50 |
| 490d | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | BuyNo7¢ | $10 |
| 491d | US military action against Iran before July? | BuyNo35¢ | $184 |
| 590d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | BuyNo36¢ | $100 |
| 641d | Bayrou out as French PM in 2025? | BuyNo32¢ | $100 |
| 686d | Will François Bayrou be the next French Prime Minister? | BuyYes24¢ | $30 |
| 702d | Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024? | BuyNo46¢ | $20 |
| 702d | Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024? | BuyNo46¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.