Zerf

Polymarket wallet 0x5396bef253415006e8685b4a53bd50f69efc61c1 · on Polymarket since Jul 24, 2024 · also shown as Wiry-Conservation

Open on Polymarket ↗@Zerf007 ↗

Positions now worth: $0
All-time profit: −$744
Volume traded: $32.1K
All-time rank: #3,016,781
Markets traded: 186
Recent hit rate: 78%39 of last 50 closed

Open positions

63 markets · $0

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Australian Open Men's: Matei Todoran vs Kai ThompsonSettled - ready to redeem	Todoran	5	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	181	11¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	182	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	5	39¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	119	82¢ → 0¢	$0	−$97 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	3	17¢ → 0¢	$0	−$0 −100%
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	133	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9?Settled - ready to redeem	Up	20	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	118	17¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Will "Crypto" be said at the Super Bowl?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	326	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	430	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$215 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	22	45¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	100	10¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	32	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	256	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	46	44¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	51	40¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group PerseveranceSettled - ready to redeem	Team WE	48	42¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	107	23¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	130	12¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	98	39¢ → 0¢	$0	−$38 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	124	16¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Settled - ready to redeem	Over	20	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	64	31¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	6	34¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	43	58¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	20	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	76	26¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5Settled - ready to redeem	Over	11	66¢ → 0¢	$0	−$7 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	22	45¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	100	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	10	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get at least 150M views in its first 7 days?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	35	14¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	182	14¢ → 0¢	$0	−$26 −100%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	29	65¢ → 0¢	$0	−$19 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	162	62¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	16	61¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in January?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	13	24¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	52	19¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	123	41¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	108	48¢ → 0¢	$0	−$51 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	43	23¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	15	67¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	150	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	38	56¢ → 0¢	$0	−$22 −100%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,000	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	250	4¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	2,000	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	28	71¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	125	8¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	105	19¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	200	15¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	107	47¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	138	78¢ → 0¢	$0	−$108 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	71	37¢ → 0¢	$0	−$26 −100%
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last at least 150 seconds?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	60	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	91	11¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	38	46¢ → 0¢	$0	−$17 −100%
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	24	21¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	51	49¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Big Game: Coin TossSettled - ready to redeem	Tails	40	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	16	64¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	20	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
36d	Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 AND Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 AND AS Roma vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5 AND Manchester City FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5 AND ACF Fiorentina vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5	Buy6¢	$1
40d	Stade Brestois 29 vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5 AND Levante UD vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5	Buy30¢	$1
40d	US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5 AND Levante UD vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 AND SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5 AND SBV Excelsior vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 2.5 AND Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-13? AND Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-12? AND Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-09-12?	Buy3¢	$1
40d	Stade Brestois 29 vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5 AND US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5 AND Levante UD vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 AND SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5 AND SV 07 Elversberg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5 AND FC Internazionale Milano vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5 AND Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-09-13? AND Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-13? AND Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-12? AND Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-09-12?	Buy<1¢	$2
41d	Levante UD vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 AND Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-13? AND Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-12? AND Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-12? AND Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12?	Buy24¢	$3
41d	Levante UD vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 AND Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5 AND Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5 AND Bradley Barcola: Anytime Goalscorer AND Will Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? AND Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-13? AND Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-12? AND Will Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Buy1¢	$3
69d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	BuyUp11¢	$26
105d	UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)	BuyMax Holloway68¢	$2
105d	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BuyYes39¢	$2
191d	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?	BuyYes64¢	$16
194d	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?	BuyYes67¢	$3
194d	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?	BuyYes40¢	$2
199d	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5	BuyOver65¢	$7
199d	Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	BuyOver52¢	$10
203d	SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5	BuyOver71¢	$10
203d	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?	BuyYes63¢	$10
203d	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?	BuyYes63¢	$10
247d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	BuyDown66¢	$10
247d	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?	BuyYes58¢	$25
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	BuyUp60¢	$10
250d	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?	BuyYes71¢	$20
251d	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?	BuyYes76¢	$23
251d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	BuyUp52¢	$10
251d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$5
251d	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?	BuyYes72¢	$25
252d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	BuyUp49¢	$10
252d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	SellUp99¢	$10
252d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	BuyUp34¢	$21
252d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$5
252d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$5
252d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	BuyUp45¢	$2
252d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	BuyUp45¢	$8
252d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	BuyUp45¢	$10
252d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	BuyUp81¢	$97
252d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	BuyUp81¢	$79
252d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	BuyUp68¢	$15
252d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	BuyUp40¢	$7
252d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	SellUp68¢	$36
252d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	BuyUp38¢	$20
252d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	BuyUp46¢	$50
253d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	BuyUp57¢	$50
253d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	BuyUp51¢	$50
253d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	BuyUp58¢	$138
253d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	BuyUp40¢	$50
253d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	SellUp>99¢	$188
253d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	BuyUp53¢	$102
253d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	SellUp99¢	$66
253d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	BuyUp74¢	$50
253d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	BuyDown23¢	$25
253d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	BuyUp19¢	$10
253d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	BuyUp27¢	$34
253d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	BuyDown48¢	$25
253d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	SellDown70¢	$28
253d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$20
254d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	BuyUp49¢	$215
254d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	SellUp70¢	$13
254d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	SellUp70¢	$1
254d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	SellUp70¢	$0
254d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	SellUp70¢	$0
254d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	SellUp70¢	$0

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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