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Polymarket wallet 0x5adbb8579cc5d322ab47c962315dbb80dabb4c7a · on Polymarket since May 11, 2025 · also shown as Filthy-Parachute
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 405 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $380 | −$2 −0.5% |
| Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 46 | 92¢ → 99¢ | $46 | +$3 +7.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 38 | 70¢ → 79¢ | $30 | +$3 +13% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 20 | 87¢ → 96¢ | $19 | +$2 +9.8% |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 13 | 83¢ → 98¢ | $13 | +$2 +19% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 10 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $10 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.4% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 3 | 78¢ → 20¢ | $1 | −$2 −74% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.