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Polymarket wallet 0x698852b18f872c5e0ab2c464c2e00b39d1f0f556 · on Polymarket since Feb 23, 2026 · also shown as Tempting-Component
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 72d | Yes | 400 | 31¢ → 10¢ | $40 | −$84 −68% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 349 | 41¢ → 11¢ | $38 | −$104 −73% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 410 | 17¢ → 7¢ | $27 | −$43 −62% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 461 | 16¢ → 5¢ | $24 | −$52 −68% |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 400 | 12¢ → 4¢ | $15 | −$33 −69% |
| U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 200 | 15¢ → 5¢ | $11 | −$20 −65% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 200 | 14¢ → 5¢ | $10 | −$18 −64% |
| Human moon landing in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $5 | +$0 +4.0% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 31 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.