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Polymarket wallet 0x6bc2ab86d763b4465081311af7a45294dbf3ee35 · on Polymarket since Nov 27, 2025 · also shown as Personal-Plier
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 26 | 38¢ → 44¢ | $12 | +$2 +16% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 47 | 21¢ → 15¢ | $7 | −$3 −29% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 6 | 85¢ → 78¢ | $5 | −$0 −8.1% |
| Nuggets vs. CelticsSettled - ready to redeem | Celtics | 21,333 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16,000 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16d | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BuyYes85¢ | $5 |
| 117d | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BuyYes21¢ | $10 |
| 117d | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BuyYes38¢ | $10 |
| 164d | Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | BuyNo72¢ | $20 |
| 197d | Mavericks vs. Suns | BuySuns66¢ | $15 |
| 197d | Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | BuySpurs99¢ | $30 |
| 232d | Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal? | BuyYes95¢ | $12 |
| 237d | US x Iran ceasefire by March 2? | BuyNo94¢ | $20 |
| 268d | Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66? | BuyYes98¢ | $3 |
| 276d | Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025? | BuyYes83¢ | $3 |
| 276d | Will Baidu have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BuyNo95¢ | $4 |
| 276d | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23? | BuyYes97¢ | $5 |
| 289d | Nuggets vs. Celtics | BuyCeltics75¢ | $200 |
| 289d | Nuggets vs. Celtics | BuyCeltics75¢ | $15,800 |
| 330d | Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | BuyNo99¢ | $2 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 10 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.