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Polymarket wallet 0x6d50d1402b75af546273297aa6dd2904bd211f5d · on Polymarket since Jun 25, 2023 · also shown as Guilty-Cranky
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?Ends in 11d | Yes | 531 | 77¢ → 70¢ | $372 | −$37 −9.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,698 | 20¢ → 18¢ | $297 | −$41 −12% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,420 | 16¢ → 6¢ | $78 | −$144 −65% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 910 | 11¢ → 7¢ | $59 | −$37 −38% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Ends in 68d | No | 85 | 31¢ → 18¢ | $15 | −$12 −44% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?Ends in 69d | Yes | 300 | 4¢ → 1¢ | $3 | −$9 −78% |
| Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 15 | 10¢ → 12¢ | $2 | +$0 +15% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?Ends in 69d | Yes | 610 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$2 −70% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?Ends in 69d | Yes | 345 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$6 −89% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 4PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 35 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,099 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$259 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.