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Polymarket wallet 0x7403851d72f29b67a66cdc3937333c82b96b1189 · on Polymarket since Mar 10, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 61 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $61 | +$1 +1.8% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 12 | 85¢ → 97¢ | $11 | +$1 +14% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 105 | 10¢ → 2¢ | $2 | −$9 −79% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 40 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-04-06?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Iran leadership change by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 196d | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | BuyNo37¢ | $15 |
| 200d | Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-04-06? | BuyYes49¢ | $4 |
| 200d | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SellYes15¢ | $5 |
| 201d | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BuyNo85¢ | $10 |
| 201d | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | SellNo86¢ | $10 |
| 201d | Trump out as President by April 30? | BuyNo98¢ | $60 |
| 212d | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BuyYes33¢ | $10 |
| 212d | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BuyNo85¢ | $10 |
| 212d | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BuyYes10¢ | $11 |
| 212d | Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31? | SellYes12¢ | $4 |
| 222d | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15? | BuyYes54¢ | $10 |
| 223d | Iran leadership change by April 30? | BuyYes50¢ | $10 |
| 223d | US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31? | BuyNo65¢ | $10 |
| 223d | Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31? | BuyYes27¢ | $10 |
| 223d | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | BuyYes67¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.