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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 21,153 | 31¢ → 18¢ | $3,702 | −$2,831 −43% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,498 | 23¢ → 49¢ | $1,211 | +$637 +111% |
| Natural Disaster in 2026?Ends in 128d | Yes | 4,989 | 53¢ → 13¢ | $649 | −$2,000 −76% |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Ends in 100d | Yes | 13,638 | 22¢ → 4¢ | $525 | −$2,460 −82% |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Ends in 69d | No | 14,483 | 13¢ → 1¢ | $138 | −$1,728 −93% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 829 | 24¢ → 5¢ | $37 | −$162 −81% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 9 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.