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Polymarket wallet 0x830bd99970452c4099a6dbe32579fede95014b89 · on Polymarket since Oct 2, 2024 · also shown as Scratchy-Accuracy
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 48 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Megaquake in November?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will 3rd parties cost Kamala Michigan?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 51 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 89 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 55 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 355d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyYes9¢ | $5 |
| 355d | Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12? | BuyNo4¢ | $4 |
| 355d | Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition? | BuyNo8¢ | $3 |
| 355d | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BuyNo6¢ | $3 |
| 715d | Will 3rd parties cost Kamala Michigan? | BuyNo2¢ | $1 |
| 715d | Megaquake in November? | BuyYes9¢ | $1 |
| 739d | Will Maia Sandu win the 2024 Moldova presidential election? | BuyNo7¢ | $3 |
| 739d | Will Moldova's EU membership referendum pass? | BuyNo4¢ | $3 |
| 739d | Subway World Series? | BuyYes28¢ | $2 |
| 739d | Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | BuyYes28¢ | $4 |
| 751d | Will Biden visit Asheville by Friday? | BuyYes4¢ | $4 |
| 751d | Will Israel target an Iranian nuclear facility? | BuyYes13¢ | $15 |
| 751d | Another Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | BuyYes13¢ | $5 |
| 751d | Will Trump say "debate" during Michigan rally? | BuyNo11¢ | $8 |
| 751d | 2024 October hottest on record? | BuyYes15¢ | $7 |
| 751d | 2024 October hottest on record? | BuyYes15¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 10 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.