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Polymarket wallet 0x853dc19910b2c9fea4b4be0b8022320ecf67a335 · on Polymarket since Sep 8, 2026 · also shown as Wan-Withdrawal
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 785 | 36¢ → 63¢ | $491 | +$207 +73% |
| Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 1,467 | 25¢ → 31¢ | $455 | +$81 +22% |
| France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 1,900 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $74 | −$15 −17% |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 200 | 24¢ → 25¢ | $49 | +$0 +0.1% |
| US x China tariff agreement by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 400 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$46 −100% |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,565 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$686 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3h | France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? | BuyYes5¢ | $89 |
| 8d | Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? | BuyYes22¢ | $170 |
| 8d | Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? | BuyYes29¢ | $214 |
| 14d | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BuyNo43¢ | $386 |
| 15d | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BuyNo45¢ | $315 |
| 18d | Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | BuyNo24¢ | $50 |
| 30d | US x China tariff agreement by December 31? | SellNo6¢ | $12 |
| 37d | Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | BuyNo36¢ | $291 |
| 37d | US x China tariff agreement by December 31? | BuyNo11¢ | $23 |
| 44d | US x China tariff agreement by December 31? | BuyNo11¢ | $23 |
| 46d | US x China tariff agreement by December 31? | BuyNo12¢ | $23 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.