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Polymarket wallet 0x9dca922d7e56d37c5946c6e32148270f17c684d9 · on Polymarket since Nov 6, 2024 · also shown as Distorted-Spoon
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Wikipedia be renamed "Dickipedia" in February?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 511 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,427 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$98 −100% |
| Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 478 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Trump takes Panama Canal in first 100 days?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 207 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 80 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 422 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$158 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 605d | Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before July? | BuyYes25¢ | $20 |
| 612d | Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany? | BuyYes3¢ | $5 |
| 612d | Will Wikipedia be renamed "Dickipedia" in February? | BuyYes1¢ | $5 |
| 625d | Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government? | BuyYes4¢ | $20 |
| 625d | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | BuyYes26¢ | $50 |
| 625d | Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election? | BuyYes5¢ | $15 |
| 625d | Trump takes Panama Canal in first 100 days? | BuyYes5¢ | $10 |
| 650d | Will Trump acquire Greenland before July? | BuyYes7¢ | $98 |
| 716d | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | BuyYes50¢ | $38 |
| 716d | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | BuyYes45¢ | $70 |
| 716d | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | BuyYes56¢ | $70 |
| 716d | Will Biden pardon Trump? | BuyYes6¢ | $15 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.