| Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 50 | 41¢ → 38¢ | $19 | −$2 −7.3% |
| Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 50 | 46¢ → 33¢ | $17 | −$7 −28% |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 15d | No | 20 | 83¢ → 75¢ | $15 | −$2 −9.7% |
| Will Amanda Seyfried win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 145d | No | 20 | 78¢ → 70¢ | $14 | −$2 −10% |
| Will The Black Ball win Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 145d | No | 20 | 84¢ → 69¢ | $14 | −$3 −18% |
| Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between -0.3% and -0.1%?Ends in 43d | No | 20 | 78¢ → 64¢ | $13 | −$3 −19% |
| Will Yair Lapid be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?Ends in 132d | Yes | 50 | 30¢ → 24¢ | $12 | −$3 −22% |
| CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 90.5% to 92%?Ends in 15d | No | 20 | 76¢ → 57¢ | $12 | −$4 −24% |
| Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be between 3% and 4%?Ends in 35d | No | 20 | 75¢ → 55¢ | $11 | −$4 −27% |
| Will New Mexico Lobos Win the 2026 Mountain West Championship?Ends in 60d | No | 20 | 69¢ → 51¢ | $10 | −$4 −27% |
| Will Canza launch a token by March 31, 2027?Ends in 163d | Yes | 20 | 72¢ → 47¢ | $9 | −$5 −35% |
| Will Target Q3 comparable sales growth be between 3% and 5%?Ends in 29d | No | 20 | 55¢ → 36¢ | $7 | −$4 −35% |
| Will there be 50 or more West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Ends in 163d | No | 6 | 72¢ → 97¢ | $5 | +$1 +36% |
| Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?Ends in 94d | Yes | 20 | 87¢ → 26¢ | $5 | −$12 −70% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 438d | Yes | 50 | 15¢ → 9¢ | $5 | −$3 −40% |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027?Ends in 132d | No | 7 | 61¢ → 63¢ | $4 | +$0 +2.0% |
| Will Patri Guijarro finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Ends in 73d | Yes | 11 | 36¢ → 35¢ | $4 | −$0 −2.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-04 House election by 15%-20%?Ends in 15d | Yes | 20 | 32¢ → 19¢ | $4 | −$3 −42% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Ends in 5d | No | 6 | 42¢ → 60¢ | $4 | +$1 +42% |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 4 | 70¢ → 77¢ | $3 | +$0 +9.3% |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 14 | 27¢ → 25¢ | $3 | −$0 −8.2% |
| Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Ends in 163d | No | 4 | 50¢ → 79¢ | $3 | +$1 +58% |
| Will Georgia Bulldogs Win the 2026 SEC Championship?Ends in 61d | No | 5 | 53¢ → 61¢ | $3 | +$0 +14% |
| Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Baja California Sur Congress election?Ends in 230d | Yes | 20 | 13¢ → 14¢ | $3 | +$0 +4.2% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-03 House election by 25%-30%?Ends in 15d | No | 3 | 81¢ → 96¢ | $3 | +$0 +18% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-04 House election by 25%-30%?Ends in 15d | No | 3 | 78¢ → 89¢ | $3 | +$0 +14% |
| Will Chase Brown finish as a top-12 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season?Ends in 99d | Yes | 20 | 63¢ → 13¢ | $3 | −$10 −79% |
| Will Ben Johns win exactly two Triple Crowns in the 2026-27 PPA Tour season?Ends in 208d | No | 3 | 69¢ → 85¢ | $3 | +$0 +23% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 55%-60%?Ends in 15d | No | 4 | 65¢ → 69¢ | $3 | +$0 +4.9% |
| Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?Ends in 10d | Yes | 5 | 55¢ → 51¢ | $2 | −$0 −7.3% |
| Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?Ends in 99d | Yes | 5 | 49¢ → 53¢ | $2 | +$0 +7.1% |
| Will Bournemouth finish 9th-24th in UEL league phase?Ends in 131d | No | 3 | 79¢ → 78¢ | $2 | −$0 −1.9% |
| Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?Ends in 10d | No | 5 | 59¢ → 49¢ | $2 | −$0 −17% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 45%-50%?Ends in 15d | No | 3 | 79¢ → 78¢ | $2 | −$0 −1.2% |
| Will Chase Brown have 1.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 99d | No | 20 | 28¢ → 11¢ | $2 | −$4 −63% |
| Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?Ends in 12d | No | 4 | 88¢ → 52¢ | $2 | −$1 −41% |
| Will Quinshon Judkins have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 99d | Yes | 20 | 20¢ → 10¢ | $2 | −$2 −53% |
| Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?Ends in 99d | No | 4 | 50¢ → 48¢ | $2 | −$0 −5.0% |
| Manchester City punishment announced by November 20?Ends in 32d | No | 2 | 88¢ → 85¢ | $2 | −$0 −4.0% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-04 House election by 10%-15%?Ends in 15d | No | 2 | 79¢ → 80¢ | $2 | +$0 +1.4% |
| Will Detroit Lions finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most offensive touchdowns?Ends in 99d | No | 2 | 87¢ → 81¢ | $2 | −$0 −7.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-29 House election by 35%-40%?Ends in 15d | No | 2 | 78¢ → 80¢ | $2 | +$0 +1.9% |
| Will John Gibson record 4+ shutouts?Ends in 192d | Yes | 3 | 37¢ → 52¢ | $2 | +$0 +39% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-01 House election by 65%-70%?Ends in 15d | Yes | 5 | 32¢ → 31¢ | $2 | −$0 −3.9% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-16 House election by 10%-15%?Ends in 15d | Yes | 5 | 28¢ → 30¢ | $1 | +$0 +5.4% |
| No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 50d | Yes | 3 | 52¢ → 42¢ | $1 | −$0 −20% |
| Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 42d | No | 3 | 59¢ → 55¢ | $1 | −$0 −6.8% |
| Will New Mexico Lobos Win the 2026 Mountain West Championship?Ends in 60d | Yes | 3 | 55¢ → 50¢ | $1 | −$0 −10% |
| Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $397,000 and $407,000 on December 31?Ends in 83d | No | 2 | 77¢ → 75¢ | $1 | −$0 −2.0% |
| Will Conor McGregor fight Max Holloway next?Ends in 265d | Yes | 4 | 33¢ → 34¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Atlanta Falcons finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards?Ends in 84d | Yes | 20 | 22¢ → 7¢ | $1 | −$3 −70% |
| Will Tanoa Sasraku win the Turner Prize 2026?Ends in 163d | No | 2 | 48¢ → 63¢ | $1 | +$0 +30% |
| Will Terry McLaurin have 1,149.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 99d | Yes | 20 | 24¢ → 7¢ | $1 | −$4 −73% |
| Manchester City punishment announced by November 20?Ends in 32d | Yes | 8 | 12¢ → 16¢ | $1 | +$0 +29% |
| Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 42d | No | 3 | 55¢ → 49¢ | $1 | −$0 −11% |
| Will one person dissent the December Fed decision?Ends in 51d | No | 2 | 71¢ → 69¢ | $1 | −$0 −3.9% |
| Will Democrats win white women in the midterms?Ends in 18d | No | 5 | 37¢ → 26¢ | $1 | −$1 −31% |
| Will Georgia be the closest Governor's race in 2026?Ends in 15d | No | 1 | 79¢ → 84¢ | $1 | +$0 +6.0% |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?Ends in 50d | No | 3 | 49¢ → 46¢ | $1 | −$0 −7.1% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be 1,050,000 or more?Ends in 15d | Yes | 20 | 15¢ → 6¢ | $1 | −$2 −60% |
| Will John Leguizamo be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 146d | No | 4 | 25¢ → 31¢ | $1 | +$0 +24% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 2 | 51¢ → 59¢ | $1 | +$0 +15% |
| Will Seattle Seahawks finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most special teams and defensive touchdowns?Ends in 84d | Yes | 20 | 12¢ → 6¢ | $1 | −$1 −51% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-06 House election by 25%-30%?Ends in 15d | Yes | 5 | 27¢ → 22¢ | $1 | −$0 −18% |
| Will PPI YoY be 6.3% in October?Ends in 25d | Yes | 20 | 17¢ → 6¢ | $1 | −$2 −68% |
| Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 2 | 70¢ → 66¢ | $1 | −$0 −6.4% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Chuck Schumer by October 31, 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1 | 39¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$1 +157% |
| Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Ends in 438d | No | 1 | 76¢ → 83¢ | $1 | +$0 +8.6% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?Ends in 3d | No | 1 | 87¢ → 94¢ | $1 | +$0 +7.5% |
| Will Caroline Graham Hansen finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Ends in 73d | Yes | 1 | 78¢ → 84¢ | $1 | +$0 +7.0% |
| Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in October 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 4 | 44¢ → 28¢ | $1 | −$1 −36% |
| Will Andrei Vasilevskiy win the 2026-27 Ted Lindsay Award?Ends in 254d | Yes | 20 | 17¢ → 5¢ | $1 | −$2 −70% |
| Will Wyatt Young be the 2026 D1 Receiving Yards Leader?Ends in 76d | Yes | 20 | 22¢ → 5¢ | $1 | −$3 −77% |
| Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 5.00 to 5.99 ft by November 30?Ends in 43d | Yes | 3 | 23¢ → 32¢ | $1 | +$0 +36% |
| Will London have between 35-45mm of precipitation in October?Ends in 80d | No | 1 | 87¢ → 91¢ | $1 | +$0 +4.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-12 House election by 70%-75%?Ends in 15d | No | 1 | 78¢ → 84¢ | $1 | +$0 +7.1% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-08 House election by 9%-12%?Ends in 15d | No | 1 | 82¢ → 83¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?Ends in 132d | Yes | 2 | 39¢ → 40¢ | $1 | +$0 +3.1% |
| Will London have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?Ends in 80d | Yes | 2 | 17¢ → 33¢ | $1 | +$0 +96% |
| Will OpenRouter process between 675T and 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?Ends in 6d | No | 1 | 64¢ → 65¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 4 | 19¢ → 18¢ | $1 | −$0 −5.5% |
| Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Ends in 12d | Yes | 4 | 28¢ → 21¢ | $1 | −$0 −27% |
| Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of October 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 3 | 24¢ → 31¢ | $1 | +$0 +27% |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1 | 63¢ → 74¢ | $1 | +$0 +17% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-05 House election by 15%-20%?Ends in 15d | Yes | 5 | 28¢ → 14¢ | $1 | −$1 −50% |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 42d | No | 1 | 37¢ → 66¢ | $1 | +$0 +78% |
| Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 20d | Yes | 2 | 19¢ → 33¢ | $1 | +$0 +71% |
| Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?Ends in 93d | No | 5 | 14¢ → 14¢ | $1 | −$0 −2.6% |
| Will Dak Prescott lead the NFL in completion percentage for the 2026 regular season?Ends in 97d | Yes | 15 | 33¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$4 −87% |
| Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1 | 65¢ → 66¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will "The Whisper Man" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 146d | Yes | 20 | 17¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$3 −81% |
| Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?Ends in 91d | Yes | 4 | 18¢ → 16¢ | $1 | −$0 −13% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 6 | 19¢ → 11¢ | $1 | −$0 −45% |
| Will EFG Win the 2026 Esports Tournament Organiser of the Year Award?Ends in 56d | Yes | 2 | 29¢ → 30¢ | $1 | +$0 +5.2% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be 7,000,000 or more?Ends in 15d | Yes | 3 | 14¢ → 18¢ | $1 | +$0 +25% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 1 | 49¢ → 52¢ | $1 | +$0 +5.1% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 2 | 15¢ → 26¢ | $1 | +$0 +70% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-02 House election by 5%-10%?Ends in 15d | Yes | 2 | 30¢ → 23¢ | $0 | −$0 −23% |
| Will Iowa be the closest Senate race in 2026?Ends in 15d | Yes | 3 | 19¢ → 17¢ | $0 | −$0 −13% |
| Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Aguascalientes Congress election?Ends in 230d | Yes | 3 | 32¢ → 16¢ | $0 | −$1 −52% |
