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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toy Story 5 | 3% | 0 pts | −9 pts | 3¢ · 3¢ (<1¢) | — | in 141d |
| Wildwood | 4% | −1 pts | −12 pts | 2¢ · 6¢ (4¢) | — | in 141d |
| Cry to Heaven | 4% | — | −1 pts | 1¢ · 7¢ (6¢) | — | in 141d |
| The Black Ball | 89% | +1 pts | +8 pts | 87¢ · 90¢ (3¢) | — | in 141d |
| The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth | 30% | +8 pts | +25 pts | 23¢ · 37¢ (14¢) | $897 | in 141d |
| All of a Sudden | 72% | +12 pts | +28 pts | 48¢ · 96¢ (48¢) | — | in 141d |
| Dune: Part Three | 29% | +1 pts | −4 pts | 28¢ · 30¢ (2¢) | — | in 141d |
| The Social Reckoning | 4% | — | — | 1¢ · 6¢ (5¢) | — | in 141d |
| The Whisper Man | 3% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 141d |
| The Invite | 94% | −2 pts | +14 pts | 90¢ · 98¢ (8¢) | $329 | in 141d |
| Project Hail Mary | 71% | −3 pts | −9 pts | 54¢ · 88¢ (34¢) | $322 | in 141d |
| The Odyssey | 89% | — | — | 87¢ · 90¢ (3¢) | — | in 141d |
| Saturn Return | 4% | +1 pts | −14 pts | 2¢ · 7¢ (5¢) | — | in 141d |
| Ink | 19% | +2 pts | −3 pts | 17¢ · 20¢ (3¢) | $31.8 | in 141d |
| Clarissa | 14% | −2 pts | +3 pts | 13¢ · 15¢ (2¢) | $30 | in 141d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6d | aviato | Toy Story 5 | BuyNo89¢ → 97¢ | $2,712 | +$230 +8.5% | 20 |
Haradwaith1,012 shares
bigdihhh888200 sharesThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 3¢ for Toy Story 5 means the market gives it about 3%.
