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Polymarket wallet 0xa504f06a0559e5ce5b7955c3c3f215a21f06aac9 · on Polymarket since Oct 22, 2025 · also shown as Official-Caper
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" in October?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberSettled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 694 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$557 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 15 | 77¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 32 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.