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Polymarket wallet 0xa5fd3970c818a4d222cec9ba579230965ed6208d · on Polymarket since Aug 24, 2024 · also shown as Defenseless-Linguistics
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 270 | 79¢ → 82¢ | $220 | +$7 +3.2% |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 197 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$118 −100% |
| Will Türkiye be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 131 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$105 −100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 171 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will no country replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 171 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 171 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 171 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 46 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.