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Polymarket wallet 0xaa3b27df95d79873c1c940eb6713824d0ba11e2e · on Polymarket since Nov 9, 2024 · also shown as Aware-Warden
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 570 | 54¢ → 9¢ | $48 | −$260 −84% |
| Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 31,522 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$469 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25,945 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$52 −100% |
| Will the US strike Mexico next?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 357 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10,556 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,435 −100% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,920 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,890 −100% |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 116,098 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$381 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16,033 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$258 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 49 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.