| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 18?Ends ended | No | 21 | 75¢ → 99¢ | $20 | +$5 +33% |
| Will ByteDance be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 20 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $20 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.60 and $0.65 on November 30, 2026?Ends in 37d | No | 20 | 96¢ → 94¢ | $19 | −$0 −2.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-07 House election by 15%-20%?Ends in 10d | No | 20 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $18 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts be between 2,950,000 and 3,100,000?Ends in 10d | No | 20 | 85¢ → 87¢ | $17 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Will Intuit Q1 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.35B?Ends in 25d | Yes | 20 | 88¢ → 83¢ | $17 | −$1 −5.7% |
| Will The Democrats win 6-7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 2d | No | 20 | 76¢ → 81¢ | $16 | +$1 +6.6% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts be between 2,800,000 and 2,950,000?Ends in 10d | No | 20 | 69¢ → 77¢ | $15 | +$2 +12% |
| Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 20 | 86¢ → 75¢ | $15 | −$2 −13% |
| Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Ends in 2d | No | 18 | 47¢ → 82¢ | $15 | +$6 +74% |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?Ends in 4d | No | 20 | 74¢ → 69¢ | $14 | −$1 −6.8% |
| Will Trump say "Airbus" in October?Ends in 7d | No | 20 | 89¢ → 62¢ | $13 | −$5 −30% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-03 House election by 20%-25%?Ends in 10d | No | 20 | 84¢ → 62¢ | $12 | −$5 −27% |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.65 and $0.70 on November 30, 2026?Ends in 37d | No | 15 | 84¢ → 76¢ | $11 | −$1 −10% |
| Will Trump say "Weave" in October?Ends in 6d | No | 21 | 46¢ → 54¢ | $11 | +$2 +16% |
| Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 62-66%?Ends in 10h | No | 20 | 70¢ → 56¢ | $11 | −$3 −21% |
| Will Trump say "Neurotic" in October?Ends in 6d | No | 18 | 81¢ → 53¢ | $9 | −$5 −35% |
| Will Trump's approval rating be at least 40.0 on October 30, 2026?Ends in 6d | No | 10 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $9 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?Ends in 127d | Yes | 20 | 41¢ → 35¢ | $7 | −$1 −16% |
| Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,062,000 on December 31?Ends in 78d | No | 19 | 44¢ → 36¢ | $7 | −$1 −17% |
| CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 90.5% to 92%?Ends in 10d | Yes | 20 | 43¢ → 33¢ | $7 | −$2 −24% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?Ends in 1d | Yes | 6 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $6 | +$0 +6.5% |
| Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Ends ended | No | 20 | 30¢ → 30¢ | $6 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Liberal–National win the third-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?Ends in 154d | Yes | 20 | 39¢ → 30¢ | $6 | −$2 −24% |
| Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of October 2026?Ends in 6d | No | 20 | 40¢ → 23¢ | $5 | −$3 −42% |
| Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?Ends ended | No | 60 | 67¢ → 8¢ | $5 | −$36 −89% |
| Will Joint List win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 2d | Yes | 20 | 30¢ → 20¢ | $4 | −$2 −35% |
| Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 5 | 71¢ → 77¢ | $4 | +$0 +8.5% |
| Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $2M?Ends in 10h | Yes | 4 | 90¢ → 99¢ | $4 | +$0 +11% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 35%-40%?Ends in 10d | No | 4 | 87¢ → 85¢ | $4 | −$0 −2.9% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 4 | 68¢ → 82¢ | $4 | +$1 +20% |
| Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in September?Ends in 4d | No | 4 | 77¢ → 78¢ | $3 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 5 | 57¢ → 60¢ | $3 | +$0 +3.8% |
| Will Marvell Q3 Data Center revenue be above $2.6B?Ends in 37d | Yes | 3 | 95¢ → 71¢ | $2 | −$1 −25% |
| Will Brennan Day win the next Courtenay-Comox British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Ends in 10h | No | 23 | 37¢ → 11¢ | $2 | −$6 −72% |
| Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?Ends in 3d | Yes | 4 | 72¢ → 59¢ | $2 | −$1 −18% |
| SSI public model released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 3 | 72¢ → 66¢ | $2 | −$0 −9.0% |
| Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $22.5M and $24M?Ends in 1d | No | 3 | 76¢ → 64¢ | $2 | −$0 −16% |
| Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 1 | 88¢ → 98¢ | $1 | +$0 +11% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 26?Ends in 2d | Yes | 3 | 60¢ → 57¢ | $1 | −$0 −4.2% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 20 | 33¢ → 7¢ | $1 | −$5 −79% |
| Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?Ends in 67d | Yes | 4 | 32¢ → 32¢ | $1 | $0 0.0% |
| Will PSOE win the most seats in Seville in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 36d | Yes | 3 | 45¢ → 47¢ | $1 | +$0 +4.4% |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 1 | 70¢ → 81¢ | $1 | +$0 +16% |
| Will Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa win the next Arequipa mayoral elections?Ends ended | No | 1 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 10%-15%?Ends in 10d | Yes | 20 | 23¢ → 5¢ | $1 | −$4 −80% |
| Will the Republicans win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 1 | 79¢ → 90¢ | $1 | +$0 +13% |
| Vertiv (VRT) Q3 adjusted operating margin 24% to 26%?Ends in 3d | No | 3 | 24¢ → 29¢ | $1 | +$0 +20% |
| Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?Ends in 6d | No | 2 | 58¢ → 47¢ | $1 | −$0 −19% |
| Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $600B by October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 20 | 34¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$6 −88% |
| Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?Ends in 4d | No | 2 | 36¢ → 39¢ | $1 | +$0 +6.9% |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 35d | No | 1 | 28¢ → 37¢ | $1 | +$0 +32% |
| Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of October 2026?Ends in 6d | No | 2 | 61¢ → 25¢ | $0 | −$1 −60% |
| Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $3.00T and $3.50T at the end of 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 2 | 27¢ → 21¢ | $0 | −$0 −21% |
| Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Veracruz Congress election?Ends in 225d | No | 3 | 28¢ → 18¢ | $0 | −$0 −38% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 41% by June 30, 2027?Ends in 249d | Yes | 1 | 42¢ → 34¢ | $0 | −$0 −20% |
| Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?Ends in 5d | Yes | 1 | 27¢ → 31¢ | $0 | +$0 +13% |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 4 | 18¢ → 11¢ | $0 | −$0 −42% |
| Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?Ends in 433d | No | 1 | 35¢ → 35¢ | $0 | −$0 −0.9% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-02 House election by 10%-15%?Ends in 10d | Yes | 1 | 29¢ → 26¢ | $0 | −$0 −9.7% |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 1 | 25¢ → 27¢ | $0 | +$0 +6.0% |
| Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?Ends in 2d | No | 4 | 23¢ → 7¢ | $0 | −$1 −72% |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $420 in October?Ends in 7d | Yes | 4 | 28¢ → 6¢ | $0 | −$1 −79% |
| Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?Ends ended | No | 10 | 34¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$3 −95% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of Rio de Janeiro?Ends in 1d | Yes | 1 | 6¢ → 4¢ | $0 | −$0 −40% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 21 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 16?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on day 2?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 21?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 68 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 16?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on October 4?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on October 22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 18?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Boeing" in October?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 30 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C or higher on October 16?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 16?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 21 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 18?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 4?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 85¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Intel" in October?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 14 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on October 5?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 96¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will AutoZone say "Pricing" during earnings call?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 16?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 18?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 34 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on October 4?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 16?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 19 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on October 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
