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Polymarket wallet 0xae9754aacf87c8ffc471bcc45153162b8b92d9de · on Polymarket since Aug 2, 2024 · also shown as Hospitable-Divan
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2027?Ends in 432d | No | 4,600 | 50¢ → 80¢ | $3,657 | +$1,357 +59% |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2027?Ends in 432d | Yes | 4,600 | 50¢ → 21¢ | $943 | −$1,357 −59% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 745d | No | 300 | 50¢ → 93¢ | $280 | +$130 +87% |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 31 | 97¢ → 96¢ | $30 | −$0 −0.4% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 745d | Yes | 300 | 50¢ → 7¢ | $20 | −$130 −87% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 22?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 52¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$1 +92% |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 23?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.