| Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 80-82%?Ends in 2d | No | 59 | 85¢ → 90¢ | $53 | +$3 +5.9% |
| Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?Ends ended | Yes | 67 | 74¢ → 77¢ | $51 | +$2 +3.1% |
| Will Core PCE YoY be 3.0% in September?Ends in 5d | No | 72 | 69¢ → 70¢ | $50 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?Ends in 2d | No | 68 | 73¢ → 72¢ | $49 | −$1 −1.4% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?Ends in 8d | No | 62 | 81¢ → 80¢ | $49 | −$1 −1.9% |
| Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Ends in 6d | No | 63 | 79¢ → 77¢ | $49 | −$1 −2.5% |
| Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in September?Ends in 5d | Yes | 82 | 45¢ → 46¢ | $38 | +$1 +1.7% |
| Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 3.5%?Ends in 6d | Yes | 221 | 19¢ → 17¢ | $37 | −$5 −11% |
| Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?Ends in 2d | Yes | 88 | 31¢ → 38¢ | $33 | +$6 +23% |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 25, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 53 | 56¢ → 62¢ | $33 | +$3 +9.8% |
| Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?Ends in 6d | Yes | 87 | 40¢ → 37¢ | $32 | −$3 −7.5% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?Ends in 6d | Yes | 45 | 73¢ → 70¢ | $32 | −$1 −4.1% |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Ends in 6d | No | 74 | 68¢ → 43¢ | $32 | −$18 −37% |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 33 | 75¢ → 87¢ | $29 | +$4 +16% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?Ends in 21h | Yes | 40 | 86¢ → 69¢ | $28 | −$7 −20% |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 29?Ends in 6d | Yes | 31 | 72¢ → 80¢ | $25 | +$2 +10% |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 30?Ends in 7d | Yes | 26 | 88¢ → 87¢ | $22 | −$0 −1.7% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?Ends ended | No | 114 | 26¢ → 18¢ | $21 | −$9 −30% |
| Visa (V) Q4 cross border volume total growth (constant dollars) 12.5% to 13.5%?Ends in 3d | Yes | 131 | 21¢ → 16¢ | $20 | −$7 −24% |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 25?Ends in 2d | Yes | 19 | 89¢ → 91¢ | $18 | +$0 +2.2% |
| Will Trump say "Maduro" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?Ends in 2d | No | 33 | 50¢ → 50¢ | $17 | $0 0.0% |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 27?Ends in 4d | Yes | 18 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $16 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 13 | 88¢ → 90¢ | $12 | +$0 +2.3% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?Ends ended | Yes | 9 | 85¢ → 97¢ | $9 | +$1 +14% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 14?Ends ended | Yes | 13 | 44¢ → 52¢ | $7 | +$1 +17% |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 23, 2026?Ends ended | Yes | 27 | 42¢ → 20¢ | $5 | −$6 −52% |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 15, 2026?Ends ended | Yes | 10 | 46¢ → 40¢ | $4 | −$1 −14% |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 18?Ends ended | No | 7 | 46¢ → 40¢ | $3 | −$0 −13% |
| Will "Leave" win any Alberta electoral division in the independence referendum?Ends ended | No | 38 | 59¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$22 −96% |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Ends in 3d | No | 70 | 71¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$49 −99% |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 19, 2026?Ends ended | Yes | 13 | 51¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$6 −95% |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 41 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| Will "Resident Evil" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 144 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$46 −100% |
| Will Andy Burnham say "Northern Ireland" during the next PMQ?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 33 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 340 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 41 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said 15+ times during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 33 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 42 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 229 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 21 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 6?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 52 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 52 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Trump renames AI by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 64 | 82¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$52 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 18 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 21 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 57 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 81 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will JPMorgan say "Credit Card" during earnings call?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 33 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will "Tesla" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 136 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on October 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 24 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 1?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 171 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$130 −100% |
| Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 48 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 4, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 226 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will CZ post 40-59 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 30 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 37 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the National Rally group hold fewer than 10 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 139 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| United Airlines (UAL) Q3 total revenue per available seat mile 20¢ to 20.5¢?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 67 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 21m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 253 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 6?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 11, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 44 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during his remarks at Anduril Industries?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 28 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 17, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 108 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Lam Research (LRCX) Q1 China revenue mix 22% to 26%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 158 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$34 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Moon" or "Space" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 28 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 18 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will MrBeast say "Feastable" or "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 400 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$157 −100% |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 7?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 99 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$46 −100% |
| Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 35 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 478 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$139 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Data Center" or "Electric" or "Electricity" during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 68 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$49 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 4 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 131 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 144 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will "Forgotten Island" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 67 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| Will RTX (RTX) Q3 Pratt & Whitney sales be above $9.5B?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 38 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will Domino's Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said 15+ times during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 53 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 150k?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 168 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will State Street (STT) beat quarterly earnings?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 39 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 23 | 89¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 7m?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 142 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$46 −100% |
| Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 118 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Netanyahu say "Trump" 3+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 53 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$38 −100% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 3, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 149 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 138 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 179 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 66 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Bank of America (BAC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $1.3B?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Will PepsiCo (PEP) beat quarterly earnings?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 124 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Will AT&T (T) Q3 total revenue be above $31.8B?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in September?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will JPMorgan say "Reduction" during earnings call?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 34 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will "Blue" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 5?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 44 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 8?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 27 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
