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Polymarket wallet 0xb202967e6b0a0c8ca3f10802e1e806fb61e641d5 · on Polymarket since Nov 26, 2025 · also shown as Respectful-Waterwheel
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 56¢ → 100¢ | $9 | +$4 +79% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d | Yes | 6 | 62¢ → 67¢ | $4 | +$0 +7.3% |
| Spread: Clippers (-1.5)Settled - ready to redeem | Trail Blazers | 28,673 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14,050 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Settled - ready to redeem | Trail Blazers | 4,800 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,544 −100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 84¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Hawks vs. CelticsSettled - ready to redeem | Hawks | 10 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 40 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 16 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.