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Polymarket wallet 0xb2bf05bb9be6b35e73c03e23a3178ae81407297b · on Polymarket since Sep 21, 2025 · also shown as Ornery-Toothpick
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 745d | No | 31 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $31 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 95 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$61 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 281 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 July 27-August 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 414 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 41 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.