China-Eastern

Polymarket wallet 0xb58d7a157c4491f464d6a1f0abecaa1d512d7336 · on Polymarket since Aug 9, 2026 · also shown as Lively-Attraction

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $1K
All-time profit: +$89.4
Volume traded: $11.3K
All-time rank: #247,809
Markets traded: 54
Recent hit rate: 54%15 of last 28 closed

Open positions

33 markets · $1K

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d	No	697	84¢ → 81¢	$561	−$28 −4.7%
Will DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d	No	162	86¢ → 90¢	$145	+$6 +4.1%
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 47d	Yes	232	25¢ → 50¢	$117	+$59 +101%
Will any Moroccan city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?Ends ended	Yes	260	11¢ → 18¢	$47	+$18 +62%
Will Labor win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?Ends in 36d	No	35	93¢ → 95¢	$33	+$1 +1.8%
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?Ends in 159d	No	30	22¢ → 50¢	$15	+$9 +129%
Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?Ends in 11d	No	29	41¢ → 45¢	$13	+$1 +8.5%
Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Ends in 647d	Yes	71	9¢ → 11¢	$8	+$1 +16%
Will Julieta Ramírez Padilla win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?Ends in 226d	Yes	10	13¢ → 67¢	$6	+$5 +418%
Will Tommie Ekered be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County?Ends ended	No	8	92¢ → 77¢	$6	−$1 −16%
Will Ismael Burgueño Ruiz win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?Ends in 226d	No	5	84¢ → 92¢	$5	+$0 +9.5%
Will Derek Giberson win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election?Ends in 3d	Yes	20	8¢ → 23¢	$4	+$3 +185%
Will Andrea Chávez Treviño win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election?Ends in 226d	No	5	87¢ → 89¢	$4	+$0 +1.7%
Will Mariana Rodríguez Cantú win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?Ends in 226d	No	5	70¢ → 82¢	$4	+$1 +17%
Will Milena Quiroga Romero win the 2027 Baja California Sur Governor Election?Ends in 226d	No	5	78¢ → 82¢	$4	+$0 +4.7%
Will Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?Ends in 226d	Yes	5	20¢ → 78¢	$4	+$3 +290%
Will Ruth González Silva win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?Ends in 226d	Yes	5	13¢ → 73¢	$4	+$3 +458%
Will Marco Bonilla Mendoza win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election?Ends in 226d	No	5	63¢ → 66¢	$3	+$0 +4.8%
Will Imelda Castro Castro win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?Ends in 226d	No	5	75¢ → 62¢	$3	−$1 −17%
Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d	Yes	26	11¢ → 10¢	$3	−$0 −4.8%
Will the Labour Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Ends in 15d	Yes	40	6¢ → 4¢	$2	−$1 −31%
Will Steven Snell win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?Ends in 11d	Yes	5	59¢ → 27¢	$1	−$1 −54%
Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation stay above 1,038 ft?Ends in 173d	No	1	90¢ → 94¢	$1	+$0 +4.8%
Will Greens win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?Ends in 36d	Yes	5	10¢ → 22¢	$1	+$1 +123%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d	No	1	87¢ → 92¢	$1	+$0 +5.2%
Will Geraldine Ponce Méndez win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election?Ends in 226d	Yes	20	20¢ → 4¢	$1	−$3 −79%
Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,500 but below 3,510 ft?Ends in 174d	Yes	10	36¢ → 8¢	$1	−$3 −79%
Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d	Yes	5	14¢ → 12¢	$1	−$0 −14%
Will Beatriz Mojica Morga win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?Ends in 226d	No	5	65¢ → 12¢	$1	−$3 −82%
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.0 but below 2.25?Ends in 159d	Yes	8	6¢ → 3¢	$0	−$0 −45%
Will Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?Ends in 226d	Yes	23	10¢ → <1¢	$0	−$2 −99%
Will Jorge Álvarez Máynez win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?Ends in 226d	Yes	10	9¢ → <1¢	$0	−$1 −97%
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 1.5 but below 2.0?Ends in 159d	Yes	25	1¢ → <1¢	$0	−$0 −96%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
4d	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?	SellYes32¢	$2
4d	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?	SellYes32¢	$5
4d	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?	SellYes32¢	$2
9d	Will Steven Snell win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?	SellYes25¢	$5
9d	Will the Labour Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	BuyYes5¢	$0
9d	Will the Labour Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	BuyYes5¢	$0
9d	Will the Labour Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	BuyYes5¢	$0
9d	Will the Labour Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	BuyYes5¢	$0
11d	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?	BuyYes25¢	$32
11d	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?	BuyYes26¢	$3
15d	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?	BuyNo21¢	$1
15d	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?	BuyNo22¢	$1
15d	Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,500 but below 3,510 ft?	SellYes44¢	$9
15d	Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,500 but below 3,510 ft?	SellYes44¢	$2
15d	Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,500 but below 3,510 ft?	SellYes44¢	$1
15d	Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,500 but below 3,510 ft?	SellYes44¢	$3
15d	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?	BuyYes26¢	$6
19d	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?	BuyYes26¢	$3
19d	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?	BuyYes26¢	$3
20d	Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	SellYes39¢	$518
22d	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?	BuyYes26¢	$15
22d	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?	BuyYes26¢	$2
24d	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?	BuyNo22¢	$4
25d	Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	SellYes39¢	$11
27d	Will DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	BuyYes12¢	$11
27d	Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,490 but below 3,500 ft?	SellNo99¢	$5
27d	Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	SellYes39¢	$2
29d	Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,028 but below 1,033 ft?	SellYes44¢	$7
32d	Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	SellYes39¢	$0
32d	Will DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	BuyNo86¢	$115
33d	Will DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	BuyYes13¢	$1
34d	Will DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	BuyNo86¢	$17
34d	Will DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	BuyNo86¢	$43
35d	Will the Labour Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	BuyYes6¢	$0
35d	Will DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	BuyNo86¢	$34
35d	Will DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	BuyNo86¢	$34
35d	Will DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	BuyNo86¢	$34
35d	Will DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	BuyYes13¢	$10
35d	Will DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	BuyNo86¢	$11
35d	Will Steven Snell win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?	BuyYes59¢	$8
35d	Will Steven Snell win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?	BuyYes59¢	$8
35d	Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?	SellNo39¢	$8
38d	Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,028 but below 1,033 ft?	BuyYes39¢	$3
38d	Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,028 but below 1,033 ft?	BuyYes40¢	$3
40d	Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	BuyYes40¢	$2
40d	Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	BuyNo84¢	$298
40d	Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	BuyNo85¢	$291
40d	Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	SellYes14¢	$71
41d	Will Greens win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?	BuyYes10¢	$1
44d	Will any Moroccan city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	BuyYes12¢	$9
44d	Will any Moroccan city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	BuyYes13¢	$10
45d	Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	SellNo60¢	$16
45d	Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	SellNo58¢	$3
45d	Will any Moroccan city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	BuyYes13¢	$0
45d	Will any Moroccan city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	BuyYes13¢	$0
45d	Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	BuyNo52¢	$18
45d	Will any Moroccan city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	SellYes10¢	$1
45d	Will any Moroccan city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	BuyYes10¢	$2
45d	Will any Moroccan city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	BuyYes11¢	$3
45d	Will any Moroccan city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	BuyYes9¢	$3

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 28 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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