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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beatriz Mojica Morga | 88% | — | 0 pts | 88¢ · 89¢ (<1¢) | — | in 226d |
| Manuel Añorve Baños | 4% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 8¢ (7¢) | — | in 226d |
| Esthela Damián Peralta | 4% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 2¢ · 6¢ (5¢) | — | in 226d |
| Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña | 1% | −2 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 226d |
| Karen Castrejón Trujillo | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 226d |
| Mario Moreno Arcos | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 226d |
| Rubén Cayetano García | 1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 226d |
| Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez | 1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 226d |
| Carlos Reyes Torres | 1% | −4 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 226d |
| Gustavo Alarcón Herrera | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 226d |
| Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz | 1% | — | −1 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 226d |
| Héctor Astudillo Flores | 1% | — | −1 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 226d |
| Evodio Velázquez Aguirre | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 226d |
| Rogelio Ortega Martínez | 1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 226d |
| Alberto López Rosas | 1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 226d |
| Javier Saldaña Almazán | 1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 226d |
| Guadalupe Eguiluz | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 226d |
| Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 226d |
| Yesenia Galarza Castro | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 226d |
| Julián López Galeana | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 226d |
| Erika Lorena Lührs | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 226d |
| Abelina López Rodríguez | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 226d |
| Félix Salgado Macedonio | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 226d |
| Iván Hernández Díaz | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 226d |
| Genaro Vázquez Flores | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 226d |
| Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 226d |
| Alejandro Bravo Abarca | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 226d |
| Eloy Salmerón Díaz | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 226d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38d |  archaic | Esthela Damián Peralta | BuyNo89¢ → 96¢ | $2,520 | +$199 +7.9% | 10 |
| 39d |  FrozenParasite2 fills | Esthela Damián Peralta | BuyNo70¢ → 96¢ | $7,115 | +$2,647 +37% | 10 |
| 45d | KiernanMeister | Esthela Damián Peralta | BuyNo53¢ → 96¢ | $2,784 | +$2,251 +81% | 10 |
| 51d | KiernanMeister | Esthela Damián Peralta | BuyYes30¢ → 4¢ | $1,291 | −$1,119 −87% | 11 |
| 72d | KiernanMeister | Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros | BuyNo86¢ → >99¢ | $1,073 | +$167 +16% | 10 |
FrozenParasite1,084 shares
Tenebrus7400 shares
EsperanzasDESTROYER341 shares
LornaPredicts77 shares
Dr.PNL350 shares
Haradwaith42 sharesGubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 88¢ for Beatriz Mojica Morga means the market gives it about 88%.