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Polymarket wallet 0xb81d1a7c4e3279c4ae95802d93432a92a3f45113 · on Polymarket since Jun 22, 2025 · also shown as Ambitious-Scrap
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| French election called by October 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Houthi strike on Israel by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 306 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| Qatar strike on Israel by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 29 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| French election called by October 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Macron out in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Netanyahu out by 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 26 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.