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Polymarket wallet 0xb9c541cc86ffc814d465e2bac47a667594162576 · on Polymarket since Feb 12, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 90¢ → 100¢ | $100 | +$10 +11% |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 112 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$70 −100% |
| Iran leadership change by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 194 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$70 −100% |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 328 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$250 −100% |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 137 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 8 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.