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Polymarket wallet 0xbc204249aef40e2b0f52ea2fada4019f800e06f9 · on Polymarket since Jul 2, 2024 · also shown as Adventurous-Vagrant
Youy
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 172 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 37 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will Iran strike eight countries in March?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,705 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Border" 30 or more times during Georgia rally on October 23?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 198 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 81 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 516 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 26 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 156 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.