| Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 24?Ends in 3h | No | 80 | 81¢ → 99¢ | $79 | +$14 +22% |
| France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 80 | 89¢ → 86¢ | $68 | −$3 −3.9% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?Ends in 2d | No | 80 | 81¢ → 81¢ | $64 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Ends in 3d | Yes | 64 | 18¢ → 97¢ | $62 | +$51 +441% |
| US imports Russian diesel by November 30?Ends in 38d | Yes | 75 | 33¢ → 80¢ | $60 | +$35 +142% |
| Will Teleflex (TFX) beat quarterly earnings?Ends ended | No | 80 | 34¢ → 69¢ | $55 | +$28 +103% |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 106 | 54¢ → 50¢ | $53 | −$4 −6.7% |
| Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 3d | No | 80 | 64¢ → 64¢ | $51 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?Ends in 5d | Yes | 80 | 61¢ → 64¢ | $51 | +$2 +4.1% |
| Will Manchester City be relegated from the Premier League in 2026-27?Ends in 250d | Yes | 80 | 56¢ → 56¢ | $45 | $0 0.0% |
| Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?Ends in 47d | No | 76 | 59¢ → 56¢ | $43 | −$2 −4.2% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 80 | 58¢ → 54¢ | $43 | −$4 −7.8% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 80 | 52¢ → 52¢ | $41 | −$0 −1.0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 72¢ → 75¢ | $38 | +$2 +4.2% |
| Will Manchester City be deducted 50 or more Premier League points?Ends in 250d | Yes | 80 | 42¢ → 45¢ | $36 | +$2 +7.1% |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 30 and December 6, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 40 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $35 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 50 | 67¢ → 70¢ | $35 | +$2 +4.5% |
| Will Warsh say "Payroll" during October Press Conference?Ends in 4d | No | 56 | 67¢ → 62¢ | $35 | −$3 −7.5% |
| Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 75 | 62¢ → 45¢ | $33 | −$13 −28% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?Ends in 6d | No | 78 | 37¢ → 40¢ | $31 | +$2 +8.1% |
| Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote?Ends in 37d | Yes | 80 | 41¢ → 37¢ | $29 | −$4 −11% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 80 | 36¢ → 37¢ | $29 | +$0 +1.4% |
| Will ExxonMobil (XOM) beat quarterly earnings?Ends in 6d | No | 80 | 35¢ → 33¢ | $26 | −$2 −5.7% |
| Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 40 | 58¢ → 59¢ | $24 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-11 House election by 10%-15%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 80 | 25¢ → 28¢ | $22 | +$2 +10% |
| Will Hilton (HLT) beat quarterly earnings?Ends in 3d | No | 80 | 20¢ → 28¢ | $22 | +$6 +38% |
| Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 67 | 75¢ → 32¢ | $21 | −$29 −57% |
| Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?Ends in 69d | Yes | 80 | 21¢ → 26¢ | $21 | +$4 +24% |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 31M tonnes at end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 80 | 29¢ → 26¢ | $21 | −$2 −10% |
| Will Justin Allgaier win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series championship?Ends in 14d | Yes | 86 | 29¢ → 24¢ | $21 | −$5 −19% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?Ends in 2d | No | 80 | 25¢ → 26¢ | $20 | +$0 +2.0% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-01 House election by 6%-9%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 80 | 34¢ → 25¢ | $20 | −$8 −28% |
| Will Josh Allen rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 80 | 20¢ → 24¢ | $19 | +$3 +20% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-05 House election by 10%-15%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 80 | 31¢ → 24¢ | $19 | −$6 −23% |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 76 | 28¢ → 25¢ | $19 | −$3 −13% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-06 House election by 15%-20%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 100 | 20¢ → 19¢ | $19 | −$2 −7.5% |
| Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 global unit case volume growth <3.5%?Ends in 3d | Yes | 80 | 43¢ → 23¢ | $18 | −$16 −46% |
| Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 80 | 27¢ → 22¢ | $17 | −$4 −20% |
| Will PJT Partners (PJT) beat quarterly earnings?Ends in 3d | No | 80 | 27¢ → 22¢ | $17 | −$4 −20% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 80 | 29¢ → 21¢ | $17 | −$6 −28% |
| Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?Ends in 8d | No | 87 | 28¢ → 18¢ | $16 | −$9 −36% |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?Ends in 4d | No | 73 | 20¢ → 22¢ | $16 | +$1 +7.5% |
| Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 80 | 24¢ → 20¢ | $16 | −$4 −19% |
| Will OpenRouter process between 175T and 185T tokens the week of October 19?Ends in 2d | Yes | 80 | 34¢ → 20¢ | $16 | −$12 −43% |
| Will Maura Higgins win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?Ends in 159d | Yes | 160 | 13¢ → 10¢ | $15 | −$6 −27% |
| Will "Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 80 | 22¢ → 19¢ | $15 | −$3 −16% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October?Ends in 8d | Yes | 20 | 70¢ → 74¢ | $15 | +$1 +5.7% |
| Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?Ends in 1d | No | 24 | 75¢ → 61¢ | $15 | −$3 −19% |
| Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?Ends in 38d | Yes | 80 | 24¢ → 18¢ | $15 | −$5 −24% |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 80 | 19¢ → 18¢ | $14 | −$1 −7.9% |
| Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 48 | 21¢ → 28¢ | $13 | +$3 +31% |
| Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 23 | 33¢ → 56¢ | $13 | +$5 +70% |
| Will League of Legends Win the 2026 Esports Game of the Year Award?Ends ended | No | 30 | 45¢ → 42¢ | $12 | −$1 −7.8% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-01 House election by 25%-30%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 40 | 30¢ → 31¢ | $12 | +$1 +5.1% |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.65 and $0.70 on November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 80 | 17¢ → 16¢ | $12 | −$1 −8.8% |
| Manchester City punishment announced by December 18?Ends in 56d | Yes | 56 | 20¢ → 22¢ | $12 | +$1 +7.5% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo?Ends in 2d | No | 80 | 25¢ → 14¢ | $11 | −$9 −44% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 60 | 30¢ → 19¢ | $11 | −$7 −38% |
| SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 32 | 36¢ → 35¢ | $11 | −$0 −4.2% |
| Will Brooks & Dunn win Vocal Duo of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Ends in 26d | No | 30 | 43¢ → 36¢ | $11 | −$2 −17% |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?Ends in 6d | No | 30 | 32¢ → 35¢ | $10 | +$1 +7.8% |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T?Ends in 434d | Yes | 160 | 31¢ → 6¢ | $10 | −$40 −80% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-07 House election by 30%-35%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 30 | 45¢ → 34¢ | $10 | −$3 −26% |
| Will Ashton Jeanty have 774.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 95d | No | 28 | 32¢ → 36¢ | $10 | +$1 +11% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-31 House election by 10%-15%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 30 | 32¢ → 32¢ | $10 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-24 House election by 15%-20%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 30 | 27¢ → 32¢ | $10 | +$2 +19% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-05 House election by 40%-45%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 30 | 33¢ → 32¢ | $9 | −$0 −4.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-17 House election by 20%-25%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 30 | 24¢ → 30¢ | $9 | +$2 +25% |
| Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 37d | Yes | 30 | 30¢ → 28¢ | $9 | −$0 −5.0% |
| Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?Ends in 2d | Yes | 20 | 35¢ → 42¢ | $8 | +$1 +20% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 DE-AL House election by 30%-35%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 30 | 17¢ → 27¢ | $8 | +$3 +59% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-01 House election by 50%-55%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 30 | 34¢ → 27¢ | $8 | −$2 −22% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-17 House election by 15%-20%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 30 | 32¢ → 26¢ | $8 | −$2 −19% |
| Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receptions?Ends in 95d | Yes | 80 | 13¢ → 10¢ | $8 | −$3 −27% |
| Will Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings?Ends in 5d | No | 80 | 11¢ → 10¢ | $8 | −$1 −14% |
| Will Don Toliver be featured on GTA VI: The Album?Ends in 33d | No | 30 | 23¢ → 25¢ | $7 | +$0 +6.5% |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?Ends in 2d | Yes | 80 | 9¢ → 9¢ | $7 | $0 0.0% |
| Microsoft matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 60 | 28¢ → 12¢ | $7 | −$10 −58% |
| Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 24 | 27¢ → 31¢ | $7 | +$1 +13% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-02 House election by 30%-35%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 30 | 30¢ → 24¢ | $7 | −$2 −22% |
| Will Toluca finish the 2026-27 Liga MX season with the best combined goal differential?Ends in 247d | Yes | 30 | 31¢ → 24¢ | $7 | −$2 −24% |
| Will the Bears win the season series against the Lions during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 95d | Yes | 30 | 21¢ → 24¢ | $7 | +$1 +12% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-06 House election by 35%-40%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 35¢ → 35¢ | $7 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Logitech G Win the 2026 Esports Commercial Partner of the Year Award?Ends in 52d | Yes | 60 | 17¢ → 12¢ | $7 | −$3 −30% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-05 House election by 45%-50%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 30 | 26¢ → 23¢ | $7 | −$1 −12% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Ends in 38d | Yes | 30 | 39¢ → 23¢ | $7 | −$5 −42% |
| Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Sean Strickland next?Ends in 268d | Yes | 40 | 23¢ → 17¢ | $7 | −$3 −29% |
| Will RZP-Zehut win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 3d | Yes | 39 | 11¢ → 17¢ | $6 | +$2 +53% |
| Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 68d | Yes | 30 | 15¢ → 21¢ | $6 | +$2 +40% |
| AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 30 | 17¢ → 21¢ | $6 | +$1 +24% |
| Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 80 | 15¢ → 8¢ | $6 | −$6 −48% |
| Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 15 | 51¢ → 42¢ | $6 | −$1 −19% |
| Will the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win the 2026 Japan Series?Ends in 8d | No | 20 | 27¢ → 31¢ | $6 | +$1 +15% |
| Will the Kansas 2026 Senate race be within 1%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 30 | 21¢ → 21¢ | $6 | −$0 −2.4% |
| Will Michael Owen attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 38d | Yes | 10 | 60¢ → 61¢ | $6 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-01 House election by 30%-35%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 30 | 26¢ → 20¢ | $6 | −$2 −23% |
| Will Thom Tillis vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Ends in 69d | Yes | 60 | 12¢ → 10¢ | $6 | −$1 −17% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-22 House election by 5%-10%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 32 | 18¢ → 19¢ | $6 | +$0 +2.8% |
| Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?Ends in 6d | No | 20 | 34¢ → 30¢ | $6 | −$1 −13% |
| Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 30 | 18¢ → 19¢ | $6 | +$0 +5.6% |
