| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 434d | No | 442 | 75¢ → 72¢ | $316 | −$15 −4.5% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 434d | No | 326 | 83¢ → 82¢ | $266 | −$3 −1.0% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 434d | No | 306 | 79¢ → 80¢ | $244 | +$3 +1.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 176 | 71¢ → 89¢ | $156 | +$32 +25% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 208 | 65¢ → 71¢ | $147 | +$12 +9.3% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 2d | Yes | 154 | 85¢ → 88¢ | $134 | +$3 +2.3% |
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?Ends in 15h | No | 153 | 77¢ → 87¢ | $132 | +$14 +12% |
| Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 15h | No | 152 | 84¢ → 87¢ | $132 | +$5 +3.6% |
| Will the Student List win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 15h | No | 169 | 75¢ → 74¢ | $125 | −$2 −1.7% |
| Will the Student List win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 15h | No | 153 | 81¢ → 80¢ | $122 | −$2 −1.3% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 434d | No | 131 | 87¢ → 90¢ | $118 | +$4 +3.4% |
| Will Sepp Müller be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Ends ended | No | 116 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $114 | +$2 +1.5% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 140 | 79¢ → 80¢ | $112 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 15h | Yes | 156 | 68¢ → 71¢ | $111 | +$5 +5.1% |
| Will US win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 15h | No | 143 | 71¢ → 78¢ | $111 | +$9 +9.0% |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 140 | 82¢ → 78¢ | $108 | −$6 −5.2% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 117 | 75¢ → 90¢ | $106 | +$18 +21% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 109 | 83¢ → 96¢ | $105 | +$14 +15% |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 4d | Yes | 129 | 41¢ → 81¢ | $104 | +$51 +97% |
| Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 15h | No | 120 | 82¢ → 86¢ | $103 | +$4 +4.2% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 6d | Yes | 103 | 87¢ → 98¢ | $102 | +$11 +13% |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 15h | No | 143 | 74¢ → 71¢ | $101 | −$4 −4.1% |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 145 | 46¢ → 70¢ | $101 | +$35 +52% |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 122 | 78¢ → 79¢ | $96 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 434d | No | 104 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $95 | +$2 +2.6% |
| Republican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 104 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $95 | +$1 +1.4% |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 36d | Yes | 144 | 63¢ → 64¢ | $91 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Will US win less than 35% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 15h | No | 93 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $91 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-06 House election by 25%-30%?Ends in 11d | No | 117 | 74¢ → 77¢ | $90 | +$4 +4.1% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 434d | Yes | 315 | 27¢ → 28¢ | $90 | +$6 +6.7% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 434d | No | 90 | 96¢ → 94¢ | $85 | −$1 −1.6% |
| Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?Ends ended | Yes | 89 | 60¢ → 93¢ | $82 | +$29 +54% |
| Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?Ends in 6d | No | 89 | 67¢ → 92¢ | $82 | +$21 +36% |
| Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 11d | No | 93 | 81¢ → 87¢ | $81 | +$6 +7.9% |
| Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 80 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $79 | +$5 +6.2% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 434d | No | 80 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $79 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?Ends in 434d | No | 80 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $78 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 82 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $77 | +$4 +5.2% |
| Will Core PCE YoY be 3.0% in September?Ends in 5d | No | 111 | 72¢ → 70¢ | $77 | −$3 −3.2% |
| Will US win 50-55% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 15h | No | 81 | 87¢ → 93¢ | $76 | +$5 +7.4% |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 113 | 53¢ → 67¢ | $76 | +$16 +26% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Ends in 15h | No | 75 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $74 | +$3 +4.8% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 240 | 50¢ → 30¢ | $71 | −$49 −41% |
| Will US win 55% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 15h | No | 73 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $70 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 70 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $70 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 84 | 90¢ → 83¢ | $70 | −$5 −7.2% |
| Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 70 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $70 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 70 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $70 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 70 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $70 | +$1 +1.4% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | No | 85 | 83¢ → 82¢ | $70 | −$1 −1.8% |
| Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 70 | 97¢ → 100¢ | $70 | +$1 +2.2% |
| Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Ends in 6d | No | 89 | 78¢ → 78¢ | $70 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 126 | 59¢ → 55¢ | $69 | −$5 −6.7% |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 70 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $69 | +$1 +0.9% |
| Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 75 | 14¢ → 92¢ | $69 | +$58 +548% |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 69 | 100¢ → >99¢ | $69 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will USD be between 2.6M and 2.7M Iranian rials on October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 89 | 81¢ → 76¢ | $68 | −$4 −5.3% |
| Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 3d | No | 102 | 63¢ → 66¢ | $67 | +$3 +4.6% |
| Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 95 | 67¢ → 70¢ | $67 | +$3 +4.6% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 65 | 75¢ → >99¢ | $65 | +$16 +33% |
| Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 68 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $64 | +$7 +12% |
| Will US win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 15h | No | 137 | 64¢ → 47¢ | $63 | −$24 −28% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 66 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $63 | +$2 +2.5% |
| Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 86 | 78¢ → 73¢ | $63 | −$5 −7.6% |
| Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 60 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $60 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 11d | No | 60 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $60 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will David Bronson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 11d | No | 60 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $60 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 70 | 74¢ → 85¢ | $60 | +$8 +15% |
| Will USD be between 2.7M and 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 91 | 77¢ → 66¢ | $60 | −$11 −15% |
| Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 64 | 60¢ → 92¢ | $59 | +$20 +53% |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 60 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $59 | +$1 +1.9% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 434d | No | 60 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $59 | +$1 +1.4% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 74 | 71¢ → 79¢ | $58 | +$5 +10% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 78 | 74¢ → 74¢ | $58 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will the Student List win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 15h | No | 84 | 69¢ → 69¢ | $57 | −$1 −1.1% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 114 | 59¢ → 50¢ | $56 | −$10 −15% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 23d | Yes | 102 | 55¢ → 55¢ | $56 | −$1 −1.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 50%-55%?Ends in 11d | No | 70 | 70¢ → 76¢ | $54 | +$4 +8.5% |
| Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?Ends in 6d | No | 65 | 78¢ → 80¢ | $52 | +$1 +2.6% |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 133 | 47¢ → 39¢ | $52 | −$10 −17% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 46d | Yes | 70 | 69¢ → 74¢ | $51 | +$3 +7.1% |
| Will Core PCE YoY be 2.9% in September?Ends in 5d | No | 51 | 81¢ → >99¢ | $51 | +$10 +24% |
| Will Otzma Yehudit win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 50 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $50 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 50 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $50 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will Meta have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 50 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $50 | −$0 −0.3% |
| Will SpaceXAI have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 49 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $49 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 64 | 84¢ → 77¢ | $49 | −$5 −8.6% |
| Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 109 | 38¢ → 45¢ | $49 | +$8 +19% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | No | 55 | 87¢ → 89¢ | $49 | +$1 +1.3% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | No | 55 | 89¢ → 88¢ | $48 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will Together win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 50 | 98¢ → 95¢ | $47 | −$2 −3.1% |
| Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 47 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $47 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 40%-45%?Ends in 11d | No | 63 | 83¢ → 75¢ | $47 | −$5 −8.9% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 58 | 83¢ → 81¢ | $47 | −$1 −1.7% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 434d | Yes | 251 | 17¢ → 18¢ | $46 | +$2 +5.2% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 72¢ → 90¢ | $45 | +$9 +25% |
| Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?Ends in 6d | No | 53 | 88¢ → 85¢ | $45 | −$2 −4.5% |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 142 | 60¢ → 31¢ | $44 | −$41 −48% |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | No | 75 | 60¢ → 59¢ | $44 | −$1 −2.6% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 47 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $44 | +$0 +0.3% |
