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Polymarket wallet 0xcba2de21d12ede8d92a493d7fcb983dde90b7bd4 · on Polymarket since Oct 6, 2026 · also shown as Failing-Literature-Peanut
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by November 30?Ends in 37d | Yes | 449 | 4¢ → 2¢ | $7 | −$13 −65% |
| Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?Ends in 68d | Yes | 113 | 18¢ → 4¢ | $5 | −$15 −75% |
| Plague case in US by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 48 | 21¢ → 8¢ | $4 | −$6 −64% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 124 | 8¢ → 2¢ | $3 | −$7 −71% |
| Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 60 | 17¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$9 −91% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 35 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.