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Polymarket wallet 0xcba91b10a4ac878c27f47476c4c8628a32c133f9 · on Polymarket since Nov 5, 2024 · also shown as Vigilant-Slump
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Ends in 434d | Yes | 700 | 60¢ → 59¢ | $410 | −$11 −2.5% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 95¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 18?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,069 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$289 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 31 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.