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Polymarket wallet 0xcedb556246bec5b12ce41a3d08169e8799f0588b · on Polymarket since Jan 6, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 234 | 35¢ → 19¢ | $43 | −$38 −47% |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 70 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 29 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 574 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 484 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 370 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 432 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 111 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 81 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 65 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.