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Polymarket wallet 0xcef78270c87bcbd1916ec18c8bea2aa6cf5c7d27 · on Polymarket since May 3, 2025 · also shown as Stiff-Immigrant
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump approval >45% on June 1?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 304 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 107 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 23 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 57 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 217 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 160 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 700 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| 2025 May hottest on record?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 35 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 312 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$78 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 11 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.