szakalmonster

Polymarket wallet 0xd3ab43d3ff8d1f881606e51c24b4f71cdb989aa1 · on Polymarket since Nov 30, 2024 · also shown as Cumbersome-Butler

Open on Polymarket ↗@JMariancki ↗

Positions now worth: $803
All-time profit: −$3.18K
Volume traded: $225K
All-time rank: #3,158,988
Markets traded: 561
Recent hit rate: 26%13 of last 50 closed

Open positions

55 markets · $803

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d	Yes	373	73¢ → 75¢	$278	+$6 +2.1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?Ends in 9d	No	251	88¢ → 84¢	$210	−$10 −4.7%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?Ends in 9d	No	195	77¢ → 67¢	$131	−$19 −13%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 19 2026?Ends in 4h	No	129	93¢ → 93¢	$120	+$0 +0.3%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?Ends in 9d	No	111	63¢ → 58¢	$64	−$6 −7.9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	40	46¢ → 0¢	$0	−$18 −100%
O/U 1.5 RoundsSettled - ready to redeem	Over	93	27¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	25	38¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	100	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	30	45¢ → 0¢	$0	−$14 −100%
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?Settled - ready to redeem	No	101	10¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	25	38¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?Settled - ready to redeem	No	500	13¢ → 0¢	$0	−$65 −100%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	194	16¢ → 0¢	$0	−$31 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	40	46¢ → 0¢	$0	−$18 −100%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in September?Settled - ready to redeem	No	203	74¢ → 0¢	$0	−$150 −100%
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	167	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?Settled - ready to redeem	No	38	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	50	44¢ → 0¢	$0	−$22 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	50	43¢ → 0¢	$0	−$21 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	10	25¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem	No	170	97¢ → 0¢	$0	−$166 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	46	44¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	25	38¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?Settled - ready to redeem	No	46	54¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 3?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	98	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreSettled - ready to redeem	No	31	33¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	40	46¢ → 0¢	$0	−$18 −100%
Hungary vs. Ukraine: O/U 1.5Settled - ready to redeem	Over	143	70¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	137	73¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	50	45¢ → 0¢	$0	−$22 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	25	38¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	200	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	12	45¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	50	43¢ → 0¢	$0	−$21 −100%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	190	27¢ → 0¢	$0	−$51 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	19	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?Settled - ready to redeem	No	129	77¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	38	13¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Poland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to ScoreSettled - ready to redeem	Yes	185	54¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)Settled - ready to redeem	FC Barcelona	196	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	25	38¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	30	44¢ → 0¢	$0	−$13 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	8	40¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	50	44¢ → 0¢	$0	−$22 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	50	44¢ → 0¢	$0	−$22 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	30	45¢ → 0¢	$0	−$14 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	30	45¢ → 0¢	$0	−$14 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	50	43¢ → 0¢	$0	−$21 −100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 26?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	250	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	50	44¢ → 0¢	$0	−$22 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	50	43¢ → 0¢	$0	−$21 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	30	45¢ → 0¢	$0	−$14 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	50	43¢ → 0¢	$0	−$21 −100%
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategySettled - ready to redeem	Yes	43	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
29m	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 19 2026?	BuyNo93¢	$120
3d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	BuyNo63¢	$71
3d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	BuyNo85¢	$101
8d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	BuyNo54¢	$25
8d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	BuyNo90¢	$120
8d	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	SellFC Barcelona40¢	$73
9d	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?	BuyYes40¢	$103
9d	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?	SellYes36¢	$123
9d	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?	BuyYes35¢	$129
9d	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	BuyFC Barcelona53¢	$102
17d	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	BuyNo77¢	$151
17d	Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Poland: O/U 2.5 AND Northern Ireland vs. Georgia: Northern Ireland O/U 0.5 AND Will Sweden win on 2026-10-05?	Buy20¢	$50
20d	France vs. Italy: France O/U 3.5 AND Hungary vs. Georgia: Hungary O/U 1.5 AND Poland vs. Romania: Poland O/U 1.5 AND Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 0.5	Buy13¢	$30
21d	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in September?	SellNo>99¢	$299
21d	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in September?	SellNo>99¢	$87
21d	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in September?	SellNo>99¢	$9
21d	Denmark vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 1.5 AND Wales vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5 AND Republic of Ireland vs. Austria: Austria O/U 1.5 AND Greece vs. Netherlands: Netherlands O/U 1.5	Buy8¢	$10
21d	Greece vs. Netherlands: Netherlands O/U 0.5 AND Wales vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5 AND Republic of Ireland vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5	Buy44¢	$50
21d	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of September 28 2026?	BuyNo58¢	$71
22d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	SellNo>99¢	$178
23d	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in September?	BuyNo19¢	$26
24d	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in September?	BuyNo57¢	$153
25d	England vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 AND Faroe Islands vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 1.5 AND Will Croatia win on 2026-09-26? AND Will Finland win on 2026-09-26?	Sell74¢	$228
26d	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	BuyYes73¢	$275
26d	England vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 AND Faroe Islands vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 1.5 AND Will Croatia win on 2026-09-26? AND Will Finland win on 2026-09-26?	Buy15¢	$50
26d	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in September?	BuyNo74¢	$152
26d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 26?	BuyYes2¢	$5
26d	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?	SellNo96¢	$63
26d	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?	SellNo98¢	$222
26d	Slovenia vs. Poland	SellPoland99¢	$196
27d	Slovenia vs. Poland	BuyPoland84¢	$167
27d	Hungary vs. Ukraine: O/U 1.5	BuyOver70¢	$102
27d	Poland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score	BuyYes54¢	$102
27d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 25?	SellNo35¢	$32
29d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 25?	SellNo75¢	$82
30d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 25?	BuyNo21¢	$21
30d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 25?	BuyNo45¢	$52
30d	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?	BuyNo88¢	$202
30d	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?	BuyNo76¢	$51
30d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?	BuyNo53¢	$20
30d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	BuyNo84¢	$151
30d	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	SellNo36¢	$70
30d	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	BuyNo41¢	$30
30d	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	BuyNo41¢	$52
30d	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	SellNo51¢	$100
30d	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	BuyNo52¢	$34
30d	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	BuyNo52¢	$52
30d	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	BuyNo52¢	$18
30d	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	SellNo38¢	$76
30d	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	BuyNo68¢	$136
32d	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	SellYes34¢	$9
32d	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes32¢	$9
33d	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SellNo26¢	$50
33d	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BuyNo29¢	$58
34d	Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SellYes47¢	$3
34d	Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SellNo51¢	$1
34d	Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SellNo52¢	$41
34d	Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SellYes47¢	$89
34d	Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BuyYes50¢	$100
34d	Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BuyNo47¢	$39

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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