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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?Ends in 6d | Yes | 63 | 23¢ → 13¢ | $8 | −$6 −45% |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 91 | 11¢ → 8¢ | $7 | −$3 −28% |
| Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 83 | 12¢ → 4¢ | $3 | −$7 −66% |
| Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −55% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.