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Polymarket wallet 0xe68df510dbf9a0aca34c3ab7b9e50b4d3df6f5b2 · on Polymarket since Jan 1, 2026 · also shown as Dirty-Contrail
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 294 | 7¢ → 2¢ | $5 | −$17 −77% |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Ends in 99d | Yes | 136 | 5¢ → 1¢ | $2 | −$5 −73% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 31 | 13¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$3 −83% |
| New pandemic in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 14 | 14¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$2 −76% |
| Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 10 | 10¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$1 −84% |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 64 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.