| Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?Ends ended | No | 200 | 70¢ → 99¢ | $199 | +$59 +42% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?Ends in 1d | No | 201 | 87¢ → 97¢ | $194 | +$19 +11% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.73% in October?Ends in 8d | No | 196 | 65¢ → 98¢ | $191 | +$63 +49% |
| Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in September?Ends in 5d | No | 203 | 82¢ → 92¢ | $187 | +$21 +13% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% in October?Ends in 8d | No | 191 | 74¢ → 97¢ | $185 | +$43 +30% |
| Will María Fernanda Espinosa be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Ends in 250d | No | 202 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $184 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 80¢ → 91¢ | $183 | +$23 +14% |
| Will the Democrats win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 198 | 87¢ → 91¢ | $179 | +$7 +4.0% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.60% in October?Ends in 8d | No | 168 | 81¢ → 98¢ | $165 | +$29 +21% |
| Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 177 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $155 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 18% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 195 | 78¢ → 79¢ | $154 | +$3 +2.0% |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Ends in 47d | Yes | 196 | 74¢ → 78¢ | $152 | +$7 +5.1% |
| Will gas hit $4.50 (High) by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 167 | 87¢ → 89¢ | $148 | +$3 +2.2% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.14% in October?Ends in 8d | No | 154 | 62¢ → 96¢ | $147 | +$52 +54% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% in October?Ends in 8d | No | 151 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $146 | +$4 +2.6% |
| Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 3d | Yes | 203 | 65¢ → 70¢ | $141 | +$10 +7.7% |
| Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?Ends in 14d | No | 200 | 61¢ → 68¢ | $136 | +$14 +11% |
| Will Christian Walker win a 2026 AL Gold Glove Award?Ends in 69d | Yes | 199 | 26¢ → 68¢ | $135 | +$83 +159% |
| Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?Ends in 2d | No | 207 | 11¢ → 65¢ | $133 | +$110 +468% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Ends in 2d | Yes | 204 | 76¢ → 65¢ | $132 | −$22 −14% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.41% in October?Ends in 8d | No | 133 | 58¢ → 97¢ | $129 | +$52 +67% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.38% in October?Ends in 8d | No | 129 | 50¢ → 97¢ | $125 | +$61 +96% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 203 | 42¢ → 62¢ | $125 | +$40 +47% |
| Will Team Liquid Reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?Ends in 52d | No | 202 | 52¢ → 59¢ | $119 | +$15 +14% |
| Will 0 Independents be elected to Congress in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 202 | 54¢ → 58¢ | $117 | +$9 +8.0% |
| Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be above 4%?Ends in 31d | No | 199 | 60¢ → 58¢ | $116 | −$4 −3.6% |
| Will the Republicans win Denton County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 197 | 41¢ → 56¢ | $111 | +$31 +39% |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 158 | 72¢ → 70¢ | $111 | −$3 −2.4% |
| Closer Senate Race: Minnesota or Mississippi?Ends in 11d | Minnesota | 203 | 51¢ → 51¢ | $104 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Colorado passes ballot measure imposing life sentences on underage sex traffickers?Ends in 11d | Yes | 120 | 52¢ → 76¢ | $91 | +$29 +46% |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?Ends in 46d | No | 189 | 51¢ → 48¢ | $90 | −$7 −7.6% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Minnesota in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 131 | 21¢ → 67¢ | $88 | +$60 +219% |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?Ends in 6d | No | 135 | 56¢ → 64¢ | $86 | +$11 +15% |
| Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?Ends in 1d | No | 96 | 78¢ → 85¢ | $82 | +$6 +8.0% |
| Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 125 | 61¢ → 60¢ | $75 | −$1 −1.5% |
| Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Ends in 1d | No | 75 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $72 | +$5 +7.5% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% in October?Ends in 8d | No | 75 | 61¢ → 96¢ | $72 | +$26 +58% |
| Will Altria (MO) Q3 total domestic cigarettes shipment volume (sticks in billions) be above 14.5B?Ends in 5d | Yes | 82 | 81¢ → 88¢ | $72 | +$5 +7.7% |
| Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?Ends in 11d | No | 200 | 27¢ → 35¢ | $70 | +$17 +31% |
| Will Forza Horizon 6 win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 47d | No | 80 | 80¢ → 86¢ | $68 | +$4 +6.9% |
| Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Ends ended | No | 106 | 86¢ → 65¢ | $68 | −$23 −25% |
| Closer Senate Race: Montana or New Jersey?Ends in 11d | Montana | 94 | 63¢ → 69¢ | $65 | +$6 +9.7% |
| California Homebuying Loan Program PropositionEnds in 11d | Yes | 89 | 70¢ → 73¢ | $65 | +$2 +3.7% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% in October?Ends in 8d | No | 108 | 78¢ → 60¢ | $64 | −$20 −24% |
| Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 206 | 49¢ → 31¢ | $64 | −$37 −37% |
| Closer Senate Race: Florida or South Carolina?Ends in 11d | South Carolina | 89 | 62¢ → 72¢ | $63 | +$8 +15% |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 200 | 29¢ → 32¢ | $63 | +$5 +8.8% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.17% in October?Ends in 8d | No | 62 | 84¢ → 95¢ | $59 | +$7 +13% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-04 House election by 30% or more?Ends in 11d | Yes | 120 | 25¢ → 49¢ | $59 | +$29 +100% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 65 | 70¢ → 89¢ | $58 | +$13 +28% |
| California Retroactive Tax Prohibition PropositionEnds in 11d | Yes | 78 | 58¢ → 72¢ | $56 | +$11 +24% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election by 45% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 92 | 53¢ → 59¢ | $54 | +$5 +10% |
| Will a North American team reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?Ends in 52d | Yes | 107 | 29¢ → 50¢ | $53 | +$22 +74% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 98 | 31¢ → 54¢ | $52 | +$22 +74% |
| Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 94 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 16d | Yes | 70 | 37¢ → 74¢ | $52 | +$26 +100% |
| Will LYON Reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?Ends in 52d | Yes | 150 | 28¢ → 34¢ | $51 | +$10 +23% |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.64% in October?Ends in 8d | No | 164 | 84¢ → 31¢ | $50 | −$87 −64% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be 5,100,000 or more?Ends in 11d | Yes | 220 | 16¢ → 21¢ | $47 | +$12 +34% |
| California Clinic Funding PropositionEnds in 11d | No | 60 | 80¢ → 77¢ | $46 | −$2 −3.8% |
| Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?Ends in 4d | Yes | 168 | 17¢ → 28¢ | $46 | +$18 +62% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.08% in October?Ends in 8d | No | 48 | 82¢ → 87¢ | $41 | +$2 +5.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-09 House election by 12% or more?Ends in 11d | Yes | 210 | 19¢ → 20¢ | $41 | +$2 +4.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election?Ends in 10d | No | 54 | 93¢ → 75¢ | $40 | −$10 −20% |
| West Virginia passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 40 | 61¢ → 93¢ | $37 | +$13 +52% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.32% in October?Ends in 8d | No | 39 | 30¢ → 94¢ | $37 | +$25 +215% |
| Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 37d | Yes | 95 | 26¢ → 39¢ | $37 | +$12 +48% |
| Will a European team reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?Ends in 52d | Yes | 50 | 47¢ → 73¢ | $37 | +$13 +55% |
| California Expedited Environmental Review PropositionEnds in 11d | Yes | 50 | 37¢ → 67¢ | $33 | +$15 +80% |
| Will the Democrats win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 105 | 39¢ → 32¢ | $33 | −$8 −19% |
| Will Olara Otunnu be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Ends in 250d | No | 39 | 74¢ → 81¢ | $32 | +$3 +10.0% |
| Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?Ends in 4d | Yes | 194 | 16¢ → 17¢ | $32 | +$1 +4.8% |
| Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial second round?Ends in 2d | No | 36 | 79¢ → 85¢ | $30 | +$2 +7.6% |
| Will "Clayface" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 2d | Yes | 30 | 79¢ → 99¢ | $30 | +$6 +26% |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 4d | No | 144 | 21¢ → 19¢ | $27 | −$4 −12% |
| Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 38 | 52¢ → 71¢ | $26 | +$7 +36% |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in October?Ends in 18d | No | 30 | 66¢ → 85¢ | $26 | +$6 +28% |
| Will the Student List win less than 30% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 1d | No | 26 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $24 | +$2 +8.8% |
| Colorado passes ballot measure banning underage transgender surgeries?Ends in 11d | No | 30 | 43¢ → 79¢ | $24 | +$11 +81% |
| Will "Clayface" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 2d | Yes | 30 | 95¢ → 75¢ | $23 | −$6 −21% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 204 | 24¢ → 11¢ | $22 | −$26 −54% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Ends in 2d | Yes | 68 | 36¢ → 33¢ | $22 | −$2 −9.6% |
| Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Ends in 7d | No | 100 | 46¢ → 22¢ | $22 | −$25 −53% |
| Will Heather Jefts win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 30 | 62¢ → 72¢ | $21 | +$3 +16% |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 4d | No | 21 | 82¢ → >99¢ | $21 | +$4 +21% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% in October?Ends in 8d | No | 20 | 73¢ → 99¢ | $20 | +$5 +35% |
| Arizona passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?Ends in 159d | No | 40 | 45¢ → 50¢ | $20 | +$2 +11% |
| Will the Democrats win Kent County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 23 | 81¢ → 87¢ | $20 | +$1 +7.4% |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 80 | 25¢ → 25¢ | $20 | −$0 −2.3% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.35% in October?Ends in 8d | No | 20 | 51¢ → 96¢ | $19 | +$9 +89% |
| Will Scott Gillingham win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?Ends in 5d | No | 225 | 11¢ → 9¢ | $19 | −$6 −23% |
| California Recall Election Reform PropositionEnds in 11d | No | 40 | 50¢ → 48¢ | $19 | −$1 −5.3% |
| Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 20 | 82¢ → 95¢ | $19 | +$3 +16% |
| Will Trump say "Oracle" in October?Ends in 8d | No | 30 | 72¢ → 63¢ | $19 | −$3 −13% |
| Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 51.0 and 51.9 in October?Ends in 9d | No | 19 | 83¢ → 99¢ | $19 | +$3 +19% |
| Will Together win 20 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 37d | No | 20 | 81¢ → 93¢ | $19 | +$2 +15% |
| Will Anyone's Legend Reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?Ends in 52d | No | 50 | 25¢ → 37¢ | $18 | +$6 +46% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.76% in October?Ends in 8d | No | 19 | 65¢ → 98¢ | $18 | +$6 +50% |
| Will gas hit $4.20 (Low) by October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 58 | 79¢ → 31¢ | $18 | −$28 −61% |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?Ends in 2d | Yes | 209 | 23¢ → 9¢ | $18 | −$31 −64% |
| Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in October?Ends in 9d | No | 20 | 71¢ → 86¢ | $17 | +$3 +21% |
