| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 30%-35%?Ends in 12d | No | 438 | 81¢ → 84¢ | $368 | +$15 +4.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat?Ends in 12d | Yes | 850 | 30¢ → 33¢ | $281 | +$27 +11% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat?Ends in 12d | Yes | 953 | 29¢ → 29¢ | $276 | +$1 +0.4% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 6%-9%?Ends in 12d | No | 323 | 82¢ → 82¢ | $266 | +$1 +0.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?Ends in 12d | Yes | 900 | 26¢ → 30¢ | $266 | +$27 +11% |
| Will Democrats sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?Ends in 12d | Yes | 799 | 21¢ → 28¢ | $220 | +$55 +33% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-13 House election by 10%-15%?Ends in 12d | No | 265 | 68¢ → 80¢ | $211 | +$30 +17% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?Ends in 12d | No | 500 | 34¢ → 39¢ | $195 | +$23 +14% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-04 House election by 6%-9%?Ends in 12d | No | 206 | 81¢ → 84¢ | $174 | +$6 +3.6% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 25%-30%?Ends in 12d | No | 200 | 81¢ → 84¢ | $168 | +$7 +4.1% |
| Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat?Ends in 12d | No | 547 | 28¢ → 29¢ | $159 | +$7 +4.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat?Ends in 12d | Yes | 405 | 36¢ → 39¢ | $158 | +$13 +8.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?Ends in 12d | Yes | 400 | 23¢ → 38¢ | $150 | +$59 +65% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-06 House election by 30%-35%?Ends in 12d | No | 200 | 75¢ → 74¢ | $147 | −$3 −1.9% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 500 | 15¢ → 19¢ | $93 | +$17 +23% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-01 House election by 12%-15%?Ends in 12d | No | 100 | 85¢ → 84¢ | $84 | −$1 −1.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-09 House seat?Ends in 12d | Yes | 490 | 17¢ → 17¢ | $83 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 12%-15%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 600 | 9¢ → 14¢ | $81 | +$30 +59% |
| Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Ends in 435d | Yes | 747 | 18¢ → 9¢ | $69 | −$64 −48% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-06 House election by 25%-30%?Ends in 12d | No | 70 | 88¢ → 87¢ | $61 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?Ends in 12d | Yes | 125 | 27¢ → 46¢ | $58 | +$24 +71% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 6%-9%?Ends in 12d | No | 63 | 87¢ → 87¢ | $55 | −$1 −1.0% |
| Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat?Ends in 12d | No | 153 | 25¢ → 36¢ | $54 | +$15 +40% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 10%-15%?Ends in 12d | No | 70 | 74¢ → 76¢ | $53 | +$1 +2.0% |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 747d | Yes | 2,000 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $40 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election by 50%-55%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 206 | 16¢ → 19¢ | $39 | +$6 +19% |
| Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?Ends in 12d | No | 100 | 25¢ → 38¢ | $38 | +$12 +47% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming Senate election by 50% or more?Ends in 12d | No | 40 | 90¢ → 87¢ | $35 | −$1 −2.8% |
| Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat?Ends in 12d | No | 100 | 26¢ → 35¢ | $35 | +$9 +32% |
| Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?Ends in 12d | No | 100 | 25¢ → 30¢ | $30 | +$5 +20% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-02 House seat?Ends in 12d | Yes | 436 | 6¢ → 7¢ | $28 | +$2 +8.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 295 | 5¢ → 8¢ | $24 | +$9 +56% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 50 | 49¢ → 41¢ | $20 | −$4 −17% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat?Ends in 12d | Yes | 50 | 38¢ → 40¢ | $20 | +$1 +5.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 3%-6%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 251 | 9¢ → 8¢ | $20 | −$2 −9.9% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-09 House election by 15%-18%?Ends in 12d | No | 21 | 89¢ → 90¢ | $19 | +$0 +1.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 100 | 19¢ → 19¢ | $19 | −$1 −2.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 15%-18%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 189 | 6¢ → 10¢ | $18 | +$7 +68% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-06 House election by 9%-12%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 150 | 11¢ → 12¢ | $17 | +$1 +4.4% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-09 House election by 12%-15%?Ends in 12d | No | 20 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $17 | +$0 +0.6% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 101 | 17¢ → 17¢ | $17 | −$1 −5.7% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 100 | 29¢ → 16¢ | $16 | −$13 −44% |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 747d | Yes | 1,000 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $16 | −$1 −5.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat?Ends in 12d | Yes | 50 | 34¢ → 30¢ | $15 | −$2 −13% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 45%-50%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 83 | 14¢ → 17¢ | $15 | +$3 +28% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-09 House election by 0%-3%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 195 | 7¢ → 7¢ | $14 | +$1 +3.9% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 83 | 18¢ → 16¢ | $13 | −$2 −14% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 217 | 7¢ → 6¢ | $12 | −$3 −20% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-13 House election by 0%-5%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 105 | 10¢ → 11¢ | $12 | +$1 +14% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 10%-20%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 100 | 11¢ → 11¢ | $11 | −$1 −4.5% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-01 House election by 3%-6%?Ends in 12d | No | 13 | 80¢ → 81¢ | $10 | +$0 +1.4% |
| Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 300 | 5¢ → 3¢ | $9 | −$4 −31% |
| Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 130 | 7¢ → 7¢ | $9 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 747d | Yes | 170 | 6¢ → 5¢ | $9 | −$1 −12% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 18%-21%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 100 | 3¢ → 9¢ | $9 | +$5 +159% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 747d | Yes | 170 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $9 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 747d | Yes | 1,500 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $8 | −$1 −8.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 6%-9%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 150 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $8 | +$1 +9.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 0%-3%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 100 | 5¢ → 8¢ | $8 | +$3 +59% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 200 | 3¢ → 4¢ | $8 | +$2 +42% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 9d | Yes | 100 | 14¢ → 8¢ | $8 | −$7 −46% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-05 House election by 3%-6%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 100 | 10¢ → 7¢ | $7 | −$3 −30% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 747d | Yes | 350 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $6 | −$1 −7.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 3%-6%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 50 | 13¢ → 13¢ | $6 | −$0 −1.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat?Ends in 12d | Yes | 19 | 32¢ → 32¢ | $6 | −$0 −1.6% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 3%-6%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 29 | 19¢ → 20¢ | $6 | +$0 +2.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 9%-12%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 90 | 4¢ → 6¢ | $5 | +$2 +49% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-09 House election by 0%-3%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 56 | 6¢ → 9¢ | $5 | +$1 +41% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 6% or more?Ends in 12d | Yes | 100 | 6¢ → 5¢ | $5 | −$1 −9.1% |
| Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping by October 31?Ends in 9d | Yes | 100 | 13¢ → 5¢ | $5 | −$8 −62% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 10 | 41¢ → 48¢ | $5 | +$1 +16% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 23 | 20¢ → 21¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 6%-9%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 100 | 6¢ → 5¢ | $5 | −$2 −29% |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 70d | Yes | 10 | 47¢ → 45¢ | $5 | −$0 −4.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 28 | 12¢ → 16¢ | $4 | +$1 +36% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-02 House election by 12%-15%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 32 | 12¢ → 14¢ | $4 | +$0 +13% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 10 | 49¢ → 43¢ | $4 | −$1 −13% |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 50 | 20¢ → 9¢ | $4 | −$6 −57% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 3%-6%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 100 | 6¢ → 4¢ | $4 | −$2 −28% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho Senate election by 25%-30%?Ends in 12d | No | 4 | 85¢ → 93¢ | $4 | +$0 +9.4% |
| Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 100 | 6¢ → 3¢ | $3 | −$3 −45% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 40 | 6¢ → 8¢ | $3 | +$1 +34% |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 747d | Yes | 899 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$0 −12% |
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 747d | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $3 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 747d | Yes | 2,000 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$1 −25% |
| Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 747d | Yes | 2,000 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$1 −25% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election?Ends in 12d | Yes | 105 | 1¢ → 3¢ | $3 | +$2 +147% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-04 House election by 6%-9%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 66 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $3 | −$0 −1.2% |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 747d | Yes | 750 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$0 −13% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kentucky Senate election by 0%-10%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 10 | 11¢ → 25¢ | $3 | +$1 +128% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 20%-25%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 30 | 4¢ → 8¢ | $2 | +$1 +106% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-02 House election by 9%-12%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 17 | 13¢ → 14¢ | $2 | +$0 +7.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 12% or more?Ends in 12d | Yes | 50 | 1¢ → 5¢ | $2 | +$2 +632% |
| Will Brian Bengs win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 44 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $2 | +$0 +3.1% |
| Will the PQ win 60-64 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Ends ended | No | 5 | 89¢ → 44¢ | $2 | −$2 −50% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 9%-12%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 67 | 1¢ → 3¢ | $2 | +$1 +269% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 0%-10%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 41 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $2 | +$0 +30% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 6% or more?Ends in 12d | Yes | 40 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $2 | +$0 +20% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-06 House election by 50% or more?Ends in 12d | Yes | 115 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $2 | +$1 +73% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 3% or more?Ends in 12d | Yes | 100 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $2 | −$1 −35% |
